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Elections · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 20, 2029 | - | 29.5% | 29.5% | - |
| Before 2028 | - | 18% | 18% | - |
| Before 2027 | - | 6% | 6% | - |
| Before August 1, 2026 | - | 0.6% | 0.6% | - |
Combined open interest
$284k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$284k
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
N/A
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
N/A
Kalshi volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Combined 24h volume
N/A
Kalshi 24h volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf Donald Trump leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.