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Economics · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2028 | - | 79.5% | 79.5% | - |
| Before July 2027 | - | 65.5% | 65.5% | - |
| Before 2027 | - | 46.5% | 46.5% | - |
Combined open interest
$310k
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
N/A
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$310k
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
N/A
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
N/A
Kalshi volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Combined 24h volume
N/A
Kalshi 24h volume was not captured in this frozen snapshot.
Polymarket 24h
N/A
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
N/A
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Rules unavailable in snapshot.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.