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0xf5fabdcdc6eb6d9765a228824f16cca9c91f62df
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.20 of market life) and 96% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (1207.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:36:27 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | ∞ | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 75% | 75% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 16% | 16% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.273 | 0.273 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 |
| Best day | N/A | $0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $72.9k | $72.9k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $50.6k | $50.6k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $874k | $874k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-480k | $-480k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $326k | $326k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.244 | 0.244 |
| Calmar | 3.524 | 3.524 | 3.524 | 3.524 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 19% | 19% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 57% | 57% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 81% | 81% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 9 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 1207 | 1207 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 92% | 92% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.727 | 0.727 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 0.122 | 0.122 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 4% | 4% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 23 | 23 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 87% | 87% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 10% | 10% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 96% | 96% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0856 | 0.1008 | 0.1008 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.2527 | 0.1590 | 0.1590 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.200 | 0.200 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0779 | -0.0779 | -0.0779 | -0.0779 |
| Alpha ($) | $-19.4k | $-19.4k | $-19.4k | $-19.4k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -7.5% | -7.5% | -7.5% | -7.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0822 | -0.0822 | -0.0822 | -0.0822 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $874k |
| $874k |
| Worst day | N/A | $0 | $-480k | $-480k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $72.9k |
| $72.9k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 0% | 33% | 33% | 15% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 50% | 89% | 89% | 85% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 1207.00 | 1207.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | $9.21k | $9.21k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | $21 | $21 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -183.00 | -183.00 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 4.75 |
| 4.75 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $1.75M | 75% | 24 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x00a98be9… | $874k | $1.92M | 45.4% |
| 0xb96585ac… | $547k | $2.42M | 22.6% |
| 0xb8642523… | $-480k | $480k | -100.0% |
| 0x07cf19dc… | $-359k | $359k | -100.0% |
| 0x52866381… | $320k | $1.99M | 16.1% |
| 0x6eb007d2… | $285k | $612k | 46.5% |
| 0x8054fef9… | $265k | $299k | 88.7% |
| 0x4a575a7c… | $-226k | $226k | -100.0% |
| 0xd7cf3f43… | $-192k | $192k | -100.0% |
| 0x2605a86f… | $134k | $197k | 67.7% |
| 0xec0dcfc8… | $-127k | $127k | -100.0% |
| 0xdbf69c69… | $121k | $365k | 33.3% |
| 0x9ff2c75f… | $103k | $156k | 66.2% |
| 0x4da73e81… | $92.3k | $138k | 66.7% |
| 0xa4d0f847… | $59k | $124k | 47.5% |
| 1194 |
| 1194 |
| 1194 |
| 1194 |