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0xf387…61c0
0xf387570fc0f9d8fa1f07ce798fc98ff909a361c0
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 7621 with median hold 0.8 hours, maker share only 16%.
Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 37% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:33:22 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$400k
Open PnL
$-305
Max drawdown
$8.21k
Underwater days
3
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $22.9k | $120k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $21.7k | $211k | $400k |
| Win rate | N/A | 70% | 55% | 57% |
| ROI | N/A | 7% | 11% | 12% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.424 | 0.674 | 0.679 |
| Markets | 16 | 68 | 640 | 911 |
| Best day | N/A | $8.04k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 27.77 | 11.98 | 14.85 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $344 | $332 | $358 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $8 | $0 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 11.99 | 9.80 | 11.21 |
| Largest win | N/A | $4.83k | $34.5k | $34.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-281 | $-8.41k | $-8.41k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $11.5k | $11k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 1.705 | 0.947 | 1.821 |
| Calmar | 48.243 | 48.243 | 48.243 | 48.243 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 22% | 14% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 66% | 48% | 27% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 89% | 61% | 38% |
| Max win streak | 11 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 299 | 771 | 4522 | 7621 |
| Unique markets | 16 | 68 | 640 | 911 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 93% | 92% |
| Avg entry price | 0.729 | 0.721 | 0.594 | 0.590 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.507 | 0.263 | 0.020 | 0.012 |
| Maker share (notional) | 31% | 32% | 15% | 16% |
| Two-sided share | 25% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Max concurrent | 11 | 36 | 252 | 392 |
| Disposition ratio | 3.20 | 2.03 | 2.38 | 2.33 |
| Add-to-winner share | 97% | 84% | 68% | 71% |
| Average-down share | 2% | 12% | 25% | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | 7.13 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 58% | 46% | 34% | 37% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0022 | 0.0176 | 0.0487 | 0.0565 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0453 | 0.1557 | 0.1721 | 0.1724 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.970 | 0.997 | 0.998 | 0.999 |
| Exit quality ($) | $272 | $137 | $-156 | $-110 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0230 | 0.0230 | 0.0230 | 0.0230 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.27k | $-1.27k | $-1.27k | $-1.27k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -38.7% | -38.7% | -38.7% | -38.7% |
| Contrarian score | -0.201 | -0.201 | -0.201 | -0.201 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0220 | 0.0220 | 0.0220 | 0.0220 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 83.0%
- News Sniper: 62.2%
- Favorite Grinder: 51.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 50.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 32.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.14e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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