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0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.29 and disposition ratio 0.82, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 335.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:31:35 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $6.24k | ∞ | $666k | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 80% | 77% | 85% | 87% |
| ROI | 63% | 71% | 55% | 62% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.490 | 0.172 | 0.070 |
| Markets | 10 | 38 | 62 | 62 |
| Best day | $15k | ∞ |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 18.70 | 36.70 | 8.70 | 10.76 |
| Mean trade PnL | $290k | $155k | $130k | $129k |
| Median trade PnL | $75.9k | $19.2k | $42.8k | $40.9k |
| Payoff ratio | 4.68 | 10.79 | 1.54 | 1.61 |
| Largest win | $719k | $719k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Largest loss | $-81.9k | $-81.9k | $-546k | $-546k |
| Expectancy | $290k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $672k | $774k | $409k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.068 | 0.068 | 0.152 | 0.068 |
| Calmar | 1.770 | 1.770 | 1.770 | 1.770 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 45% | 20% | 5% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 74% | 20% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 98% | 34% | 28% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3121 | 18743 | 32953 | 32953 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 38 | 62 | 62 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.324 | 0.316 | 0.316 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.165 | 0.069 | 0.045 | 0.045 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 99% | 98% | 98% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 8.2 | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 8.6 | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 9 | 17 | 17 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 3.35 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 31% | 21% | 21% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 47% | 77% | 77% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 23% | 26% | 26% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3489 | 0.3151 | 0.1846 | 0.1895 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3934 | 0.2615 | 0.2350 | 0.2353 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.973 | 0.947 | 0.947 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-34.4k | $-25k | $-19.6k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -16.1% | -6.3% | -6.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0337 | -0.0337 | -0.0337 | -0.0337 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.020 | -0.020 | -0.020 | -0.020 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0137 | 0.0137 | 0.0137 | 0.0137 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations | 19871 |
Joint probability 6.50e-20; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| ∞ |
| ∞ |
| Worst day | $15k | $-574k | $-1.77M | $-1.79M |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $155k |
| $130k |
| $129k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 33% |
| 43% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 67% | 80% | 81% | 23% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 94% | 93% | 26% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 0% | 40% | 86% | 88% | 47% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 3% |
| 8% |
| 10% |
| 10% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0152 | -0.0106 | -0.0106 |
| Inventory turnover | 3121.00 | 18743.00 | 32953.00 | 32953.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.07 | 1.57 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Avg ticket | $797 | $399 | $369 | $369 |
| Median ticket | $42 | $19 | $16 | $16 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -17305.00 | -17305.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.81 |
| 2.99 |
| 2.29 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $30.3M | 88% | 224 |
| Eurovision | $-18.7k | 80% | 5 |
| Tennis | $-0 | 50% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0256ef63… | $1.29M | $844k | 153.0% |
| 0x9c183f63… | $1.24M | $1.43M | 87.0% |
| 0xcaaa1338… | $1.13M | $345k | 328.9% |
| 0x3ceb5b63… | $1.06M | $634k | 166.6% |
| 0xc09537a0… | $969k | $586k | 165.3% |
| 0x6d621f9a… | $911k | $579k | 157.2% |
| 0x32552863… | $909k | $766k | 118.8% |
| 0x017f7984… | $823k | $412k | 200.0% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $719k | $656k | 109.6% |
| 0x08d56195… | $701k | $288k | 243.7% |
| 0x9814196a… | $700k | $704k | 99.5% |
| 0xaf767784… | $695k | $207k | 335.2% |
| 0x7061e7ce… | $694k | $408k | 170.3% |
| 0x2a7a6ab8… | $666k | $1.27M | 52.6% |
| 0x7e88fd88… | $578k | $1.39M | 41.7% |
| 19871 |
| 19871 |
| 19871 |