0xee00…cea1

0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1

Tilted GamblerGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 13.55 and disposition ratio 0.03, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 615.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 15:48:12 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$3.01M

Open PnL

$-202k

Max drawdown

$687k

Underwater days

127

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$3.73k	$238k	$233k	∞
Realized PnL	$32.8k	$-103k	$350k	∞
Win rate	11%	37%	33%	65%
ROI	18%	-5%	4%	2%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.257	0.019	0.078
Markets	4	11	123	628
Best day	$3.91k	$297k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	3.12	0.82	1.15	1.17
Mean trade PnL	$3.64k	$-3.44k	$1.21k	$340
Median trade PnL	$-95	$-95	$-118	$4
Payoff ratio	24.94	1.42	2.36	0.64
Largest win	$48.3k	$165k	$334k	$334k
Largest loss	$-14.8k	$-147k	$-294k	$-294k
Expectancy	$3.64k

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$131k	$136k	$62.9k
Sortino (daily)	0.101	0.403	0.016	0.075
Calmar	4.284	4.284	4.284	4.284
Drawdown duration (days)	114.0	114.0	114.0	114.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	76%	16%	7%	1%
Concentration top-5	99%	65%	24%	3%
Concentration top-10	100%	92%	38%	5%
Max win streak	1	6	16	47
Max loss streak	8	9	40	40

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	288	397	3350	14249
Unique markets	4	11	123	628
Active days ratio	100%	67%	93%	90%
Avg entry price	0.780	0.798	0.610	0.639
Portfolio HHI	0.389	0.210	0.021	0.008
Maker share (notional)	97%	74%	83%	75%
Two-sided share	0%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.0	0.6	10.4	84.3
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.6
Max concurrent	1	7	29	207
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	0.01	0.03
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	0%	70%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	100%	21%
Tilt ratio	14.66

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	80%	22%	30%
Brier (weighted)	0.5333	0.2483	0.2058	0.0819
Brier (unweighted)	0.0698	0.1740	0.0939	0.1106
Entry timing mean	0.765	0.666	0.767	0.755
Exit quality ($)	$0	$-0	$83	$67
Exit quality ROI gap	0.0%	10.0%	22.3%	81.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0329	-0.0329	-0.0329	-0.0329
Alpha ($)	$-50k	$-50k	$-50k	$-50k
Alpha ROI gap	-53.8%	-53.8%	-53.8%	-53.8%
Contrarian score	0.176	0.176	0.176	0.176
Post-fill drift	0.0479	0.0479	0.0479	0.0479
Post-fill candles (mean)	3.3	3.3	3.3	3.3
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Scalper: 58.1%
Favorite Grinder: 53.2%
News Sniper: 47.8%
Conviction Holder: 18.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xed64db4eaf… entry 0.008
0xa3b40156ef… entry 0.008 timing 0.43
0x14da6b7a7b… entry 0.008
0x0b8f749b33… entry 0.008
0x027554df8b… entry 0.008
0xf2782e85da… entry 0.008
0x2cd0f179b7… entry 0.180 timing 0.92
0x6e9f90a6f4… entry 0.017
0xfb1835b887… entry 0.040
0xcb06319aa9… entry 0.017 timing 0.90
0x852fcfca1d… entry 0.017
0x43e56f9293… entry 0.260 timing 0.82
0x4c7db77685… entry 0.120
0x43268d56a2… entry 0.014 timing 0.83
0xc21b749e3c… entry 0.112
0x00e5c807d5… entry 0.092
0x0ae2fb73b2… entry 0.006
0x69615e7805… entry 0.180
0x6b3047c7aa… entry 0.001
0xad5557292c… entry 0.210

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0xee00…cea1

0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 13.55 and disposition ratio 0.03, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 615.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$3.73k

$238k

$233k

∞

Realized PnL

$32.8k

$-103k

$350k

∞

Win rate

11%

37%

33%

65%

ROI

18%

-5%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.257

0.019

0.078

Markets

123

628

Best day

$3.91k

$297k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

3.12

0.82

1.15

1.17

Mean trade PnL

$3.64k

$-3.44k

$1.21k

$340

Median trade PnL

$-95

$-118

Payoff ratio

24.94

1.42

2.36

0.64

Largest win

$48.3k

$165k

$334k

Largest loss

$-14.8k

$-147k

$-294k

Expectancy

$3.64k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$131k

$136k

$62.9k

Sortino (daily)

0.101

0.403

0.016

0.075

Calmar

4.284

Drawdown duration (days)

114.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

76%

16%

Concentration top-5

99%

65%

24%

Concentration top-10

100%

92%

38%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

288

397

3350

14249

Unique markets

123

628

Active days ratio

100%

67%

93%

90%

Avg entry price

0.780

0.798

0.610

0.639

Portfolio HHI

0.389

0.210

0.021

0.008

Maker share (notional)

97%

74%

83%

75%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.0

0.6

10.4

84.3

Holding time median (h)

0.0

0.3

0.0

0.6

Max concurrent

207

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.01

0.03

Add-to-winner share

N/A

70%

Average-down share

N/A

100%

21%

Tilt ratio

14.66

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

80%

22%

30%

Brier (weighted)

0.5333

0.2483

0.2058

0.0819

Brier (unweighted)

0.0698

0.1740

0.0939

0.1106

Entry timing mean

0.765

0.666

0.767

0.755

Exit quality ($)

$-0

$83

$67

Exit quality ROI gap

0.0%

10.0%

22.3%

81.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0329

Alpha ($)

$-50k

Alpha ROI gap

-53.8%

Contrarian score

0.176

Post-fill drift

0.0479

Post-fill candles (mean)

3.3

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Scalper: 58.1%

Favorite Grinder: 53.2%

News Sniper: 47.8%

Conviction Holder: 18.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xed64db4eaf… entry 0.008
0xa3b40156ef… entry 0.008 timing 0.43
0x14da6b7a7b… entry 0.008
0x0b8f749b33… entry 0.008
0x027554df8b… entry 0.008
0xf2782e85da… entry 0.008
0x2cd0f179b7… entry 0.180 timing 0.92
0x6e9f90a6f4… entry 0.017
0xfb1835b887… entry 0.040
0xcb06319aa9… entry 0.017 timing 0.90
0x852fcfca1d… entry 0.017
0x43e56f9293… entry 0.260 timing 0.82
0x4c7db77685… entry 0.120
0x43268d56a2… entry 0.014 timing 0.83
0xc21b749e3c… entry 0.112
0x00e5c807d5… entry 0.092
0x0ae2fb73b2… entry 0.006
0x69615e7805… entry 0.180
0x6b3047c7aa… entry 0.001
0xad5557292c… entry 0.210

Sports	$1.7M	65%	6823
Esports	$1.14M	65%	801
Tennis	$304k	60%	205
NHL	$93.8k	73%	37
1H	$86.5k	50%	2
Golf	$-62.1k	73%	40
Soccer	$61.4k	52%	248
Games	$57.9k	70%	83
Dota 2	$-33.2k	35%	26
Group Futures	$-32k	38%	16
Recurring	$30.9k	75%	8
Up or Down	$29.1k	67%	18

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x56c714fd…	$334k	$279k	119.9%
0x044350e4…	$-294k	$294k	-100.0%
0x4adfece9…	$-236k	$236k	-100.0%
0x5bb8e8dc…	$231k	$256k	90.4%
0x9ccdbb03…	$220k	$11.6k	1900.0%
0xe7d89be5…	$198k	$297k	66.7%
0x34432ae5…	$-189k	$189k	-100.0%
0x54df2e7e…	$-186k	$186k	-100.0%
0x091f1b8f…	$165k	$317k	52.1%
0x14be4c65…	$-163k	$163k	-99.9%
0xed26b6e5…	$-154k	$154k	-100.0%
0x277793e9…	$-153k	$153k	-100.0%
0xac6dd009…	$-152k	$152k	-100.0%
0x715aafb4…	$-146k	$146k	-100.0%
0xa95d4827…	$-143k	$201k	-71.4%

0xee00…cea1

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xee00…cea1

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

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