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Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
97% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (89%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.69).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:23:49 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$2.04M
Open PnL
$43k
Max drawdown
$120k
Underwater days
83
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $5.52k | N/A | $47.1k | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $8.43k | $14.2k | $76.7k | ∞ |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 93% | 89% |
| ROI | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | ∞ | 0.832 | 0.987 | 0.203 |
| Markets | 24 | 49 | 282 | 461 |
| Best day | $2.52k | $5.87k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | ∞ | ∞ | 3.66 | 5.44 |
| Mean trade PnL | $937 | $749 | $352 | $1.07k |
| Median trade PnL | $808 | $320 | $42 | $68 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.29 | 0.69 |
| Largest win | $2.13k | $4.75k | $9.78k | $202k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-4.24k | $-47.5k |
| Expectancy | $937 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.21k | $2.28k | $13.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | ∞ | ∞ | 2.481 | 0.326 |
| Calmar | 13.956 | 13.956 | 13.956 | 13.956 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 25% | 33% | 7% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 81% | 76% | 27% | 22% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 97% | 40% | 33% |
| Max win streak | 9 | 18 | 107 | 213 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 5 | 12 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 398 | 899 | 8086 | 20150 |
| Unique markets | 24 | 49 | 282 | 461 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.995 | 0.992 | 0.989 | 0.985 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.467 | 0.276 | 0.202 | 0.049 |
| Maker share (notional) | 43% | 55% | 51% | 69% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.4 | 15.3 | 44.8 | 76.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.9 | 6.1 | 19.9 | 19.1 |
| Max concurrent | 5 | 11 | 154 | 242 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.55 | 0.73 | 2.93 | 1.51 |
| Add-to-winner share | 92% | 80% | 83% | 80% |
| Average-down share | 3% | 0% | 13% | 17% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 25% | 19% | 56% | 52% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0309 | 0.0033 | 0.0015 | 0.0015 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0565 | 0.0341 | 0.0379 | 0.0577 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.531 | 0.560 | 0.736 | 0.764 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-153 | $-18 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0091 | -0.0091 | -0.0091 | -0.0091 |
| Alpha ($) | $-198 | $-198 | $-198 | $-198 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0026 | -0.0026 | -0.0026 | -0.0026 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 84.0%
- Scalper: 41.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 35.1%
- News Sniper: 33.8%
- Conviction Holder: 28.1%