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0xe90b…5da2 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xe90b…5da2
0xe90bec87d9ef430f27f9dcfe72c34b76967d5da2
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.40 and disposition ratio 0.51, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 790.7), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:33:18 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $4.67k | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 54% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 14% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | ∞ | 0.076 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 823 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | ∞ | 1.10 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $1.17k | $1.17k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $506 | $16 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.96 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $3.66k | $803k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-858k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $272k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.052 | 0.052 | ∞ | 0.052 |
| Calmar | 1.579 | 1.579 | 1.579 | 1.579 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 164.5 | 164.5 | 164.5 | 164.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 78% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 5% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 4 | 28 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 71 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23788 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 823 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.551 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 56% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.5 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 538 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.51 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 60% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 25% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 56% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0150 | 0.1595 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0104 | 0.1715 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.742 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-0 | $237 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -0.0% | 93.6% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0856 | 0.0856 | 0.0856 | 0.0856 |
| Alpha ($) | $-5.25k | $-5.25k | $-5.25k | $-5.25k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -20.0% | -20.0% | -20.0% | -20.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.196 | -0.196 | -0.196 | -0.196 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0852 | 0.0852 | 0.0852 | 0.0852 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 58.1%
- Scalper: 56.0%
- News Sniper: 47.1%
- Contrarian Fader: 33.4%
- Conviction Holder: 24.7%
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 66% | 19% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0095 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23788.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.01k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $19 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 569.50 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $6.53M | 53% | 5451 |
| Esports | $896k | 58% | 503 |
| Tennis | $452k | 55% | 200 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-308k | 24% | 51 |
| Boxing | $228k | 50% | 2 |
| uncategorized | $-155k | 33% | 24 |
| Formula 1 | $-74.2k | 45% | 11 |
| UFC 325 | $-50.6k | 40% | 5 |
| Bitcoin | $41.1k | 100% | 7 |
| Up or Down | $-25.3k | 55% | 93 |
| patriots | $20k | 100% | 4 |
| Crypto | $14.2k | 66% | 29 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x204d24f3… | $-1.19M | $2.63M | -45.2% |
| 0x5738020f… | $795k | $653k | 121.7% |
| 0xdece3c9a… | $686k | $460k | 149.2% |
| 0x6e937a4f… | $-636k | $1.06M | -60.2% |
| 0x90cda6e8… | $595k | $1.1M | 54.1% |
| 0x041e692c… | $550k | $569k | 96.6% |
| 0x1cfcf352… | $-540k | $2.27M | -23.8% |
| 0xea996ad7… | $-526k | $581k | -90.5% |
| 0xdf4e320b… | $515k | $1.14M | 45.1% |
| 0x70aff10d… | $-513k | $843k | -60.8% |
| 0x4dfedb04… | $-473k | $473k | -100.0% |
| 0x598ec9f9… | $-418k | $766k | -54.6% |
| 0xe901e666… | $-403k | $722k | -55.9% |
| 0x88ecab1f… | $-390k | $607k | -64.2% |
| 0x6420e6b2… | $372k | $500k | 74.3% |