0xe16d…5e30

0xe16d3f2a5807999b358affd9445c3a09e45e5e30

ScalperGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 12072 with median hold 3.5 hours, maker share only 0%.

Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 98% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 14:44:52 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$796k

Open PnL

$-6.05M

Max drawdown

$730k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$25.6k	N/A	$400k	$822k
Realized PnL	$0	$569k	∞	∞
Win rate	N/A	85%	93%	96%
ROI	N/A	58%	68%	80%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.985	0.111	0.075
Markets	8	59	334	989
Best day	N/A	$261k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	588.18	297.03	49.68
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$21.1k	$12.6k	$16.7k
Median trade PnL	N/A	$5.66k	$4.61k	$7.89k
Payoff ratio	N/A	106.94	22.48	2.00
Largest win	N/A	$159k	$159k	$191k
Largest loss	N/A	$-524	$-2.75k	$-40k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	$108k	$115k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	2.405	0.098	0.076
Calmar	1.091	1.091	1.091	1.091
Drawdown duration (days)	47.0	47.0	47.0	47.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	28%	6%	2%
Concentration top-5	N/A	79%	19%	9%
Concentration top-10	N/A	92%	29%	15%
Max win streak	4	16	75	230
Max loss streak	N/A	2	3	3

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	123	729	4252	12072
Unique markets	8	59	334	989
Active days ratio	200%	100%	83%	84%
Avg entry price	0.558	0.565	0.558	0.518
Portfolio HHI	0.234	0.051	0.012	0.003
Maker share (notional)	0%	0%	0%	0%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	3.0	4.0	4.2	4.5
Holding time median (h)	3.0	2.9	2.9	3.5
Max concurrent	8	56	331	965
Disposition ratio	1.10	0.97	1.03	0.95
Add-to-winner share	26%	30%	29%	35%
Average-down share	74%	70%	70%	64%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	94%	99%	98%
Brier (weighted)	0.1951	0.1801	0.1682	0.2022
Brier (unweighted)	0.1959	0.1950	0.1648	0.1906
Entry timing mean	0.820	0.815	0.786	0.755
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$-15	$-3	$-25
Exit quality ROI gap	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0347	-0.0347	-0.0347	-0.0347
Alpha ($)	$839	$839	$839	$839
Alpha ROI gap	-2.0%	-2.0%	-2.0%	-2.0%
Contrarian score	0.364	0.364	0.364	0.364
Post-fill drift	-0.1000	-0.1000	-0.1000	-0.1000
Post-fill candles (mean)	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 72.4%
News Sniper: 49.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
Tilted Gambler: 30.4%
Favorite Grinder: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 4.71e-11; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x44f8200e81… entry 0.282 timing 0.77
0x538eaf375c… entry 0.167 timing 0.70
0xc9f52d4c1e… entry 0.238 timing 0.77
0xb4a443da13… entry 0.287 timing 0.72
0xb3f1834bcd… entry 0.195 timing 0.67
0x57714e82df… entry 0.180 timing 0.86
0x248c146b5c… entry 0.300 timing 0.81
0xea6c7cadfb… entry 0.245 timing 0.73
0xc6ca1ee20e… entry 0.217 timing 0.78
0xc43dc30431… entry 0.217 timing 0.78
0x277793e96d… entry 0.219 timing 0.25
0x7c77096e61… entry 0.283 timing 0.44

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0xe16d…5e30

0xe16d3f2a5807999b358affd9445c3a09e45e5e30

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 12072 with median hold 3.5 hours, maker share only 0%.

Capital velocity 1.9 and held-to-resolution 98% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$25.6k

N/A

$400k

$822k

Realized PnL

$569k

∞

Win rate

N/A

85%

93%

96%

ROI

N/A

58%

68%

80%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.985

0.111

0.075

Markets

334

989

Best day

N/A

$261k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

588.18

297.03

49.68

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$21.1k

$12.6k

$16.7k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$5.66k

$4.61k

$7.89k

Payoff ratio

N/A

106.94

22.48

2.00

Largest win

N/A

$159k

$191k

Largest loss

N/A

$-524

$-2.75k

$-40k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$108k

$115k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

2.405

0.098

0.076

Calmar

1.091

Drawdown duration (days)

47.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

28%

Concentration top-5

N/A

79%

19%

Concentration top-10

N/A

92%

29%

15%

Max win streak

230

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

123

729

4252

12072

Unique markets

334

989

Active days ratio

200%

100%

83%

84%

Avg entry price

0.558

0.565

0.558

0.518

Portfolio HHI

0.234

0.051

0.012

0.003

Maker share (notional)

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

3.0

4.0

4.2

4.5

Holding time median (h)

3.0

2.9

3.5

Max concurrent

331

965

Disposition ratio

1.10

0.97

1.03

0.95

Add-to-winner share

26%

30%

29%

35%

Average-down share

74%

70%

64%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

94%

99%

98%

Brier (weighted)

0.1951

0.1801

0.1682

0.2022

Brier (unweighted)

0.1959

0.1950

0.1648

0.1906

Entry timing mean

0.820

0.815

0.786

0.755

Exit quality ($)

$-0

$-15

$-3

$-25

Exit quality ROI gap

-0.0%

-0.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0347

Alpha ($)

$839

Alpha ROI gap

-2.0%

Contrarian score

0.364

Post-fill drift

-0.1000

Post-fill candles (mean)

3.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 72.4%

News Sniper: 49.0%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%

Tilted Gambler: 30.4%

Favorite Grinder: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 4.71e-11; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x44f8200e81… entry 0.282 timing 0.77
0x538eaf375c… entry 0.167 timing 0.70
0xc9f52d4c1e… entry 0.238 timing 0.77
0xb4a443da13… entry 0.287 timing 0.72
0xb3f1834bcd… entry 0.195 timing 0.67
0x57714e82df… entry 0.180 timing 0.86
0x248c146b5c… entry 0.300 timing 0.81
0xea6c7cadfb… entry 0.245 timing 0.73
0xc6ca1ee20e… entry 0.217 timing 0.78
0xc43dc30431… entry 0.217 timing 0.78
0x277793e96d… entry 0.219 timing 0.25
0x7c77096e61… entry 0.283 timing 0.44

Esports	$9.97M	96%	588
Sports	$14.7k	100%	7

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xe30e0f41…	$191k	$218k	87.6%
0x277793e9…	$185k	$52k	356.6%
0x4a28e0a7…	$185k	$136k	135.9%
0x54df2e7e…	$182k	$93.2k	195.3%
0x442c6d9f…	$162k	$176k	91.7%
0x27eea2fd…	$159k	$184k	86.2%
0x5fee4f88…	$159k	$201k	78.9%
0xb5154d10…	$146k	$125k	116.6%
0xf5433382…	$113k	$58.2k	193.8%
0x8c7dbb55…	$109k	$50.1k	218.0%
0x27f052ac…	$105k	$91.7k	115.0%
0xb2d0e0c3…	$101k	$115k	88.3%
0x68bdc057…	$94.7k	$86.3k	109.7%
0x7fe15343…	$88.1k	$113k	78.0%
0x6266a812…	$85.9k	$116k	74.3%

0xe16d…5e30

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xe16d…5e30

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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