0xdb859a551fcf56e49416160911476bea7307152f
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.94 and disposition ratio 1.05, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 249.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:36:13 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $22.3k | N/A | $56.6k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $166k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 92% | 69% |
| ROI | N/A | 72% | 74% | 66% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 2.462 | 0.023 | 0.037 |
| Markets | 6 | 15 | 246 | 815 |
| Best day | N/A | $5.14k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | 33.24 | 7.73 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $27.7k | $20.8k | $10.5k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $15.6k | $12.6k | $4.55k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 2.86 | 3.42 |
| Largest win | N/A | $72.4k | $140k | $157k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-15.6k | $-69.1k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $125k | $72.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 0.015 | 0.029 |
| Calmar | 0.529 | 0.529 | 0.529 | 0.529 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 44% | 6% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 95% | 27% | 10% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 41% | 18% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 10 | 37 | 69 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 84 | 2932 | 4188 | 5635 |
| Unique markets | 6 | 15 | 246 | 815 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 97% | 87% |
| Avg entry price | 0.565 | 0.507 | 0.464 | 0.471 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.301 | 0.205 | 0.016 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 22% | 29% | 10% | 6% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 7.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 13 | 207 | 730 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1.79 | 1.05 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 100% | 26% | 33% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 0% | 60% | 55% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 67% | 100% | 84% | 90% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1344 | 0.2664 | 0.1868 | 0.2072 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1344 | 0.2511 | 0.2323 | 0.2328 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.253 | 0.466 | 0.748 | 0.811 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $438 | $5 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0023 | -0.0023 | -0.0023 | -0.0023 |
| Alpha ($) | $-157 | $-157 | $-157 | $-157 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -5.7% | -5.7% | -5.7% | -5.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0217 | -0.0217 | -0.0217 | -0.0217 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.16e-17; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $238k |
| $238k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-542k | $-542k | $-542k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $27.7k |
| $20.8k |
| $10.5k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 75% | 81% | 48% | 9% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 97% | 76% | 59% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 92% | 81% | 32% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.1610 | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 84.00 | 2932.00 | 4188.00 | 5635.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.92 | 2.94 | 1.80 | 1.72 |
| Avg ticket | $4.47k | $366 | $1.38k | $2.39k |
| Median ticket | $9 | $37 | $32 | $40 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 443.70 | 82.30 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 71.09 |
| 8.87 |
| 3.94 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $3.9M | 64% | 394 |
| Esports | $974k | 93% | 67 |
| Tennis | $277k | 79% | 28 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $7.53k | 100% | 1 |
| uncategorized | $4.89k | 100% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0923f4cd… | $157k | $139k | 112.8% |
| 0xaa23528a… | $140k | $60k | 233.3% |
| 0x180bce41… | $131k | $100k | 130.5% |
| 0x99f0c39e… | $124k | $176k | 70.6% |
| 0x04b6d663… | $116k | $235k | 49.3% |
| 0x7061e7ce… | $114k | $70k | 163.2% |
| 0x2c37e07b… | $113k | $168k | 67.4% |
| 0x24688d70… | $108k | $108k | 99.8% |
| 0xeb470f82… | $105k | $105k | 100.2% |
| 0xb783d540… | $101k | $100k | 101.3% |
| 0xa947b7c6… | $88.7k | $100k | 88.7% |
| 0x2f81074a… | $73.2k | $60k | 122.0% |
| 0xf8ac0137… | $72.4k | $99.9k | 72.4% |
| 0x67cc68fb… | $72.1k | $10k | 721.0% |
| 0xe9cde4bf… | $-69.1k | $69.1k | -100.0% |
| 33 |
| 33 |
| 33 |
| 33 |