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P Prediction Market News
Cross-venue Polymarket and Kalshi odds, consensus prices, volume, open interest, spread, and resolution rules. Not investment advice.
0xd0d6…93aa · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
Traders / 0xd0d6…93aa 0X
0xd0d6…93aa 0xd0d6053c3c37e727402d84c14069780d360993aa
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 0 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 1.00 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.0 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 16:12:05 UTC
Window metrics Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL (leaderboard) N/A N/A N/A ∞ Realized PnL $0 $0 $0 $69.5k Win rate N/A N/A N/A 50% ROI N/A N/A N/A 2% Sharpe (daily) N/A N/A N/A 0.608 Markets 0 0 0 368 Best day $0 $0
Performance Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Profit factor N/A N/A N/A 1.05 Mean trade PnL N/A N/A N/A $8 Median trade PnL N/A N/A N/A $1 Payoff ratio N/A N/A N/A 1.04 Largest win N/A N/A N/A $10.2k Largest loss N/A N/A N/A $-11.1k Expectancy N/A
Risk Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL volatility N/A N/A N/A $13.2k Sortino (daily) 1.512 1.512 1.512 1.512 Calmar 119.448 119.448 119.448 119.448 Drawdown duration (days) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Consistency Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Concentration top-1 N/A N/A N/A 1% Concentration top-5 N/A N/A N/A 3% Concentration top-10 N/A N/A N/A 5% Max win streak N/A N/A N/A 13 Max loss streak N/A N/A N/A 13
Odds bucket 24h win rate 7d win rate 30d win rate All-time win rate Notional (all)
Activity Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Trade count 0 0 0 35049 Unique markets 0 0 0 368 Active days ratio N/A N/A N/A 14% Avg entry price N/A N/A N/A 0.396 Portfolio HHI N/A N/A N/A 0.007 Maker share (notional) N/A N/A N/A 58% Two-sided share N/A
Behavior Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Holding time avg (h) N/A N/A N/A 0.1 Holding time median (h) N/A N/A N/A 0.0 Max concurrent N/A N/A N/A 281 Disposition ratio N/A N/A N/A 1.00 Add-to-winner share N/A N/A N/A 52% Average-down share N/A N/A N/A 45% Tilt ratio N/A
Markets / calibration Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Held to resolution N/A N/A N/A 58% Brier (weighted) N/A N/A N/A 0.1807 Brier (unweighted) N/A N/A N/A 0.1794 Entry timing mean N/A N/A N/A 0.995 Exit quality ($) N/A N/A N/A $-9 Exit quality ROI gap N/A N/A N/A -0.7%
Style Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time CLV mean -0.0400 -0.0400 -0.0400 -0.0400 Alpha ($) $1.55k $1.55k $1.55k $1.55k Alpha ROI gap 29.0% 29.0% 29.0% 29.0% Contrarian score 0.019 0.019 0.019 0.019 Post-fill drift 0.0050 0.0050 0.0050 0.0050 Post-fill candles (mean) 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 Post-fill observations
Archetype scores News Sniper: 55.0% Scalper: 46.7% Contrarian Fader: 32.3% Conviction Holder: 23.2% Early-Bird Forecaster: 21.3% Spread capture N/A N/A N/A -0.0007
Inventory turnover N/A N/A N/A 35049.00
Capital velocity N/A N/A N/A 0.09
Activity slope (fills/week) N/A N/A N/A -35045.00
Category PnL (all) Win rate n
Up or Down $82.2k 50% 7824 Crypto $-14.4k 51% 321 uncategorized $1.66k 50% 155
Market (condition) PnL Cost ROI 0xc8b2b041… $-11.1k $11.1k -100.0% 0xcdfeb99e… $-8.5k $8.5k -100.0% 0xc415e46e… $8.43k $6.79k 124.2% 0xc3f11173… $-7.24k $7.24k -100.0% 0x258328a9… $7.22k $5.43k 133.0% 0x88b28553… $6.36k $6.19k 102.7% 0x772b3a56… $-6.14k $6.14k -100.0% 0x6426569b… $6.01k $6.96k 86.2% 0xe4a34393… $-5.82k $6.08k -95.8% 0x08456435… $-5.8k $5.99k -96.9% 0x4ef5bbb2… $5.47k $6.7k 81.7% 0xd452abb2… $-5.21k $5.21k -100.0% 0x5ccff24a… $4.6k $5.62k 82.0% 0xf935eace… $4.41k $2.5k 176.2% 0xdbbe0730… $-4.4k $4.4k -100.0%
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