0xbca0…9705

0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705

ScalperGrade BStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 10244 with median hold 1.4 hours, maker share only 30%.

Capital velocity 0.3 and held-to-resolution 95% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 13:09:22 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$1.03M

Open PnL

$-369k

Max drawdown

$77.5k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$34.2k	N/A	∞
Realized PnL	$33.2k	$85.4k	$369k	∞
Win rate	58%	59%	58%	59%
ROI	34%	19%	17%	18%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.502	0.164	0.586
Markets	107	359	1611	1611
Best day	$16.9k	$19.9k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	2.48	1.57	1.47	1.56
Mean trade PnL	$236	$178	$142	$126
Median trade PnL	$4	$2	$5	$6
Payoff ratio	1.78	1.07	1.06	1.08
Largest win	$9.25k	$17.9k	$63.6k	$63.6k
Largest loss	$-4.9k	$-11k	$-94.4k	$-94.4k
Expectancy	$236

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$10.6k	$20.6k	$21k
Sortino (daily)	0.735	0.492	0.141	0.735
Calmar	13.345	13.345	13.345	13.345
Drawdown duration (days)	18.0	18.0	18.0	18.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	12%	5%	7%	3%
Concentration top-5	49%	20%	15%	6%
Concentration top-10	69%	34%	19%	9%
Max win streak	5	8	11	11
Max loss streak	4	4	4	5

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	623	2124	10244	10244
Unique markets	107	359	1611	1611
Active days ratio	200%	114%	100%	100%
Avg entry price	0.526	0.480	0.491	0.491
Portfolio HHI	0.057	0.015	0.009	0.009
Maker share (notional)	0%	0%	30%	30%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	1.7	1.6	1.6	1.6
Holding time median (h)	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.4
Max concurrent	107	359	1506	1506
Disposition ratio	1.01	0.94	0.91	0.91
Add-to-winner share	58%	60%	61%	61%
Average-down share	41%	39%	38%	38%
Tilt ratio	1.17

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	100%	95%	95%
Brier (weighted)	0.1908	0.2018	0.2040	0.1902
Brier (unweighted)	0.1938	0.1878	0.1944	0.1849
Entry timing mean	0.524	0.498	0.482	0.482
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$-0	$-0	$-0
Exit quality ROI gap	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.1322	0.1322	0.1322	0.1322
Alpha ($)	$705	$705	$705	$705
Alpha ROI gap	29.3%	29.3%	29.3%	29.3%
Contrarian score	-0.216	-0.216	-0.216	-0.216
Post-fill drift	0.2218	0.2218	0.2218	0.2218
Post-fill candles (mean)	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.1
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 63.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 50.8%
Contrarian Fader: 41.6%
Conviction Holder: 35.3%
News Sniper: 32.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 2.02e-146; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x15312eae71… entry 0.270
0xbd94d5129e… entry 0.300
0xbb52026a09… entry 0.270
0xb86a220c17… entry 0.280
0x67fe594178… entry 0.170
0xd2f4c381e5… entry 0.246
0x666c11659f… entry 0.223
0x2cf73e325b… entry 0.245
0xa041478850… entry 0.253
0x742e9aeb38… entry 0.130
0xc2109a5cd4… entry 0.223
0x2706fccf5c… entry 0.270
0x76ade9773e… entry 0.290
0x7c66260d4b… entry 0.230
0xeff5f08c54… entry 0.216
0xaa88936168… entry 0.165
0x22fe05de40… entry 0.270
0xa3aa7d21e7… entry 0.279
0x2ad3b8a886… entry 0.225
0xb71a488686… entry 0.205
0x3de038e286… entry 0.175

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0xbca0…9705

0xbca08c1bc204a34f2fddbe47b438b9bd42ac9705

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 10244 with median hold 1.4 hours, maker share only 30%.

Capital velocity 0.3 and held-to-resolution 95% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$34.2k

N/A

∞

Realized PnL

$33.2k

$85.4k

$369k

∞

Win rate

58%

59%

58%

59%

ROI

34%

19%

17%

18%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.502

0.164

0.586

Markets

107

359

1611

Best day

$16.9k

$19.9k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

2.48

1.57

1.47

1.56

Mean trade PnL

$236

$178

$142

$126

Median trade PnL

Payoff ratio

1.78

1.07

1.06

1.08

Largest win

$9.25k

$17.9k

$63.6k

Largest loss

$-4.9k

$-11k

$-94.4k

Expectancy

$236

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$10.6k

$20.6k

$21k

Sortino (daily)

0.735

0.492

0.141

0.735

Calmar

13.345

Drawdown duration (days)

18.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

12%

Concentration top-5

49%

20%

15%

Concentration top-10

69%

34%

19%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

623

2124

10244

Unique markets

107

359

1611

Active days ratio

200%

114%

100%

Avg entry price

0.526

0.480

0.491

Portfolio HHI

0.057

0.015

0.009

Maker share (notional)

30%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

1.7

1.6

Holding time median (h)

1.4

Max concurrent

107

359

1506

Disposition ratio

1.01

0.94

0.91

Add-to-winner share

58%

60%

61%

Average-down share

41%

39%

38%

Tilt ratio

1.17

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

95%

Brier (weighted)

0.1908

0.2018

0.2040

0.1902

Brier (unweighted)

0.1938

0.1878

0.1944

0.1849

Entry timing mean

0.524

0.498

0.482

Exit quality ($)

$-0

Exit quality ROI gap

0.0%

-0.0%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.1322

Alpha ($)

$705

Alpha ROI gap

29.3%

Contrarian score

-0.216

Post-fill drift

0.2218

Post-fill candles (mean)

2.1

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 63.0%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 50.8%

Contrarian Fader: 41.6%

Conviction Holder: 35.3%

News Sniper: 32.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 2.02e-146; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x15312eae71… entry 0.270
0xbd94d5129e… entry 0.300
0xbb52026a09… entry 0.270
0xb86a220c17… entry 0.280
0x67fe594178… entry 0.170
0xd2f4c381e5… entry 0.246
0x666c11659f… entry 0.223
0x2cf73e325b… entry 0.245
0xa041478850… entry 0.253
0x742e9aeb38… entry 0.130
0xc2109a5cd4… entry 0.223
0x2706fccf5c… entry 0.270
0x76ade9773e… entry 0.290
0x7c66260d4b… entry 0.230
0xeff5f08c54… entry 0.216
0xaa88936168… entry 0.165
0x22fe05de40… entry 0.270
0xa3aa7d21e7… entry 0.279
0x2ad3b8a886… entry 0.225
0xb71a488686… entry 0.205
0x3de038e286… entry 0.175

Sports	$1.26M	59%	9976
Tennis	$3.55k	75%	24

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xb7dc069e…	$63.6k	$29.6k	214.8%
0xd1b44514…	$-43.4k	$140k	-31.1%
0x4bb56685…	$36k	$74.6k	48.3%
0x9ce3c465…	$32.3k	$59.1k	54.6%
0xaeb2d822…	$28.5k	$35.2k	80.9%
0x9581ddc0…	$21.4k	$19.4k	110.4%
0x44e2b4ee…	$21.3k	$19.5k	109.3%
0x6e86fc1b…	$20.6k	$20.2k	101.6%
0x17b566fa…	$18.7k	$12k	156.4%
0x4558afc5…	$17.8k	$14.7k	121.1%
0xb559bb0e…	$16.8k	$34.1k	49.3%
0xedaf0b2a…	$15.3k	$18.4k	83.1%
0x8246b715…	$15.2k	$19.2k	79.1%
0x92777779…	$-14.8k	$14.8k	-100.0%
0x727b8c78…	$-14.7k	$18.4k	-79.9%

0xbca0…9705

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xbca0…9705

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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