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0x84cf…2f63
0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 47455 with median hold 3.0 hours, maker share only 42%.
Capital velocity 0.8 and held-to-resolution 67% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:10:33 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-6.78M
Open PnL
$550k
Max drawdown
$9.01M
Underwater days
85
Equity curve
Board ranks
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $624k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-50.6k | $-55.6k | $-55.6k | $-55.6k |
| Win rate | 45% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| ROI | -3% | -1% | -1% | -1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.098 | -0.177 | -0.140 |
| Markets | 146 | 295 | 295 | 295 |
| Best day | $-50.7k | ∞ |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.86 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-333 | $-124 | $-124 | $-124 |
| Median trade PnL | $-26 | $-50 | $-50 | $-50 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.03 | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
| Largest win | $67.3k | $996k | $996k | $996k |
| Largest loss | $-44.1k | $-550k | $-550k | $-550k |
| Expectancy | $-333 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $912k | $808k | $565k |
| Sortino (daily) | -0.118 | 0.149 | -0.144 | -0.118 |
| Calmar | -0.757 | -0.757 | -0.757 | -0.757 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 84.5 | 84.5 | 84.5 | 84.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 17% | 19% | 19% | 19% |
| Concentration top-5 | 44% | 58% | 58% | 58% |
| Concentration top-10 | 62% | 72% | 72% | 72% |
| Max win streak | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Max loss streak | 16 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 15546 | 47455 | 47455 | 47455 |
| Unique markets | 146 | 295 | 295 | 295 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 125% | 125% | 125% |
| Avg entry price | 0.399 | 0.466 | 0.466 | 0.466 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.048 | 0.044 | 0.044 | 0.044 |
| Maker share (notional) | 10% | 42% | 42% | 42% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Max concurrent | 140 | 229 | 229 | 229 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.65 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.08 |
| Add-to-winner share | 56% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 38% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.33 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 92% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1195 | 0.1957 | 0.1957 | 0.1957 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1114 | 0.1325 | 0.1325 | 0.1325 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.816 | 0.754 | 0.754 | 0.754 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-795 | $-286 | $-286 | $-286 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 33.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.2656 | -0.2656 | -0.2656 | -0.2656 |
| Alpha ($) | $-11.1k | $-11.1k | $-11.1k | $-11.1k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -115.0% | -115.0% | -115.0% | -115.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.009 | -0.009 | -0.009 | -0.009 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.3489 | -0.3489 | -0.3489 | -0.3489 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 58.8%
- News Sniper: 45.2%
- Tilted Gambler: 40.8%
- Contrarian Fader: 31.8%
- Conviction Holder: 26.8%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 9.01e-10; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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