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0x7c1ee865a785de4c00ee90ed86a38489fb8bbab3
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 18248 with median hold 0.3 hours, maker share only 42%.
Capital velocity 1.7 and held-to-resolution 62% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:55:39 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $510k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $471k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 100% | 96% |
| ROI | N/A | 135% | 100% | 98% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.141 | 0.408 | 0.267 |
| Markets | 4 | 12 | 191 | 224 |
| Best day | N/A | $30.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | ∞ | 34.30 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $118k | $96.2k | $85.4k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $92.4k | $72k | $67k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.26 |
| Largest win | N/A | $269k | $374k | $374k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-276k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $325k | $324k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | ∞ | 0.468 | 0.353 |
| Calmar | 3.339 | 3.339 | 3.339 | 3.339 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 57% | 5% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 19% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 34% | 28% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 5 | 98 | 98 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 526 | 2474 | 14523 | 18248 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 12 | 191 | 224 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 120% | 100% | 98% |
| Avg entry price | 0.780 | 0.722 | 0.443 | 0.435 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.353 | 0.174 | 0.010 | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | 75% | 90% | 40% | 42% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 1 | 125 | 140 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 32% | 36% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 17% | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 11% | 66% | 62% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0484 | 0.2774 | 0.2388 | 0.2418 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0484 | 0.2651 | 0.2704 | 0.2606 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.999 | 0.987 | 0.992 | 0.991 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | 0.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.2087 | 0.2087 | 0.2087 | 0.2087 |
| Alpha ($) | $-92 | $-92 | $-92 | $-92 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -13.3% | -13.3% | -13.3% | -13.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.305 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.2127 | 0.2127 | 0.2127 | 0.2127 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.04e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| ∞ |
| ∞ |
| Worst day | N/A | $935 | $-394k | $-426k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $118k |
| $96.2k |
| $85.4k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 96% | 13% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 98% | 96% | 56% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 31% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 17% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0069 | 0.0007 | 0.0001 |
| Inventory turnover | 526.00 | 2474.00 | 14523.00 | 18248.00 |
| Capital velocity | 3.94 | 2.78 | 1.64 | 1.71 |
| Avg ticket | $876 | $609 | $1.01k | $922 |
| Median ticket | $8 | $14 | $12 | $13 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -641.80 | -166.06 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 0.91 |
| 1.57 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $9.65M | 97% | 112 |
| Politics | $-0 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x02103f04… | $374k | $286k | 130.7% |
| 0x4d765b0b… | $356k | $143k | 248.4% |
| 0x83d646ac… | $325k | $280k | 115.8% |
| 0xadf4acda… | $269k | $101k | 267.3% |
| 0xa947b7c6… | $266k | $299k | 88.7% |
| 0xe282b7d9… | $-265k | $291k | -91.0% |
| 0x498cd7fc… | $242k | $232k | 104.1% |
| 0x9c183f63… | $241k | $249k | 96.8% |
| 0x65f57600… | $235k | $178k | 132.6% |
| 0xb8c4eb2b… | $229k | $221k | 103.6% |
| 0xfb2314dc… | $205k | $192k | 106.7% |
| 0x26c10c27… | $204k | $196k | 104.1% |
| 0xebb200cb… | $203k | $97k | 209.3% |
| 0x882f0d33… | $186k | $114k | 163.2% |
| 0x95417e73… | $180k | $170k | 105.9% |
| 3998 |
| 3998 |
| 3998 |
| 3998 |