
0x5e6e2c3f06686f2607b86c90e35f536e81a1be00
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 15848 with median hold 2.9 hours, maker share only 85%.
Capital velocity 0.5 and held-to-resolution 19% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:29:51 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $119k | $126k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $22.1k | $-10.1k | $-89.8k | $-14.3k |
| Win rate | 100% | 50% | 43% | 47% |
| ROI | 96% | -5% | -11% | -0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | ∞ | 0.272 | 0.105 | 0.027 |
| Markets | 1 | 14 | 76 | 341 |
| Best day | $34.5k | $148k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | ∞ | 0.91 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Mean trade PnL | $22.1k | $-629 | $-1.11k | $-13 |
| Median trade PnL | $22.1k | $712 | $-1.1k | $-6 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.91 | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Largest win | $22.1k | $27k | $27k | $54.8k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-34.6k | $-34.6k | $-65.3k |
| Expectancy | $22.1k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $62.7k | $32.9k | $27.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | ∞ | 0.490 | 0.171 | 0.025 |
| Calmar | 0.614 | 0.614 | 0.614 | 0.614 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 40.4 | 40.4 | 40.4 | 40.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 17% | 4% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 67% | 18% | 4% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 92% | 34% | 7% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 4 | 7 | 55 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1 | 318 | 2588 | 15848 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 14 | 76 | 341 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 86% | 70% | 88% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.175 | 0.218 | 0.189 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.123 | 0.028 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 93% | 84% | 85% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 1.0 | 22.3 | 10.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 0.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 3 | 15 | 67 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.08 | 3.87 | 0.55 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 38% | 31% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 50% | 44% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 15% | 17% | 19% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2401 | 0.2412 | 0.2138 | 0.2320 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2401 | 0.2388 | 0.2129 | 0.2365 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.572 | 0.616 | 0.727 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $2 | $188 | $-12 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.1% | -3.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.2395 | 0.2395 | 0.2395 | 0.2395 |
| Alpha ($) | $569 | $569 | $569 | $569 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.182 | -0.182 | -0.182 | -0.182 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1631 | 0.1631 | 0.1631 | 0.1631 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 3.70e-13; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $148k |
| $148k |
| Worst day | $34.5k | $-41.5k | $-41.5k | $-96.8k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-629 |
| $-1.11k |
| $-13 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 33% | 18% | 30% | 19% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 63% | 59% | 50% | 58% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 50% | 54% | 68% | 22% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.2247 | 0.0291 | 0.0020 |
| Inventory turnover | 1.00 | 318.00 | 2588.00 | 15848.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.00 | 0.73 | 1.06 | 0.47 |
| Avg ticket | $22.9k | $430 | $348 | $281 |
| Median ticket | $22.9k | $15 | $20 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 29.30 | -205.35 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9.57 |
| 6.32 |
| 1.57 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-157k | 46% | 640 |
| Esports | $104k | 49% | 443 |
| Tennis | $28.8k | 43% | 23 |
| 2026 NBA Playoffs | $9.67k | 33% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xed4fa0c7… | $-65.3k | $65.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x4d85f297… | $-63.1k | $63.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x5ee8c736… | $-61.8k | $66.9k | -92.5% |
| 0x20648354… | $-58k | $58k | -100.0% |
| 0x0a6ba6ca… | $54.8k | $26.2k | 208.8% |
| 0x15f5d9ae… | $44.9k | $32.1k | 139.9% |
| 0x87348688… | $-43.7k | $43.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x629ad5b2… | $40.8k | $36.2k | 112.9% |
| 0x4435d57c… | $-39.8k | $39.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x62727c53… | $-39.7k | $39.7k | -100.0% |
| 0xd017264f… | $36.9k | $33.5k | 110.2% |
| 0xe901e666… | $35k | $8.5k | 411.2% |
| 0x375409bc… | $-34.6k | $34.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x8f9c97e5… | $34.5k | $25.5k | 135.3% |
| 0xb783d540… | $34.2k | $31.7k | 107.9% |
| 1493 |
| 1493 |
| 1493 |
| 1493 |