
0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 0.24 and disposition ratio 6.30, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 104.4), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 11:31:26 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $-3.59k | $143k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 80% | 78% | 65% | 61% |
| ROI | -1% | 18% | 9% | 15% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.007 | -0.007 | 0.060 |
| Markets | 7 | 12 | 282 | 282 |
| Best day | $-132 | $190k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.94 | 2.33 | 1.46 | 1.66 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-718 | $15.9k | $3.63k | $2.91k |
| Median trade PnL | $10.5k | $3.89k | $939 | $391 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.23 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 1.05 |
| Largest win | $22.5k | $196k | $272k | $330k |
| Largest loss | $-57.6k | $-57.6k | $-232k | $-232k |
| Expectancy | $-718 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $97.8k | $224k | $110k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.055 | -0.007 | -0.006 | 0.055 |
| Calmar | 1.203 | 1.203 | 1.203 | 1.203 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 67% | 55% | 4% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 14% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 26% | 12% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 5 | 68 | 68 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 62 | 200 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 569 | 1511 | 47913 | 47913 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 12 | 282 | 282 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 80% | 89% | 89% |
| Avg entry price | 0.139 | 0.346 | 0.465 | 0.465 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.223 | 0.167 | 0.009 | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | 75% | 49% | 77% | 77% |
| Two-sided share | 14% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 6 | 73 | 73 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.46 | 6.30 | 6.30 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 64% | 64% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 8% | 8% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.01 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 29% | 38% | 25% | 25% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0228 | 0.0772 | 0.1142 | 0.1608 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0459 | 0.0552 | 0.1375 | 0.2007 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.951 | 0.889 | 0.988 | 0.988 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-142 | $191 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 1.7% | 5.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0799 | 0.0799 | 0.0799 | 0.0799 |
| Alpha ($) | $-81 | $-81 | $-81 | $-81 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.129 | 0.129 | 0.129 | 0.129 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0114 | -0.0114 | -0.0114 | -0.0114 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.88e-20; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $613k |
| $613k |
| Worst day | $-132 | $-131k | $-623k | $-623k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $15.9k |
| $3.63k |
| $2.91k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 13% |
| 7% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 35% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 42% | 57% | 37% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 80% | 79% | 33% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 97% | 20% |
| 17% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| Spread capture | -0.0010 | -0.0030 | -0.0017 | -0.0017 |
| Inventory turnover | 569.00 | 1511.00 | 47913.00 | 47913.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.89 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 0.53 |
| Avg ticket | $840 | $664 | $342 | $342 |
| Median ticket | $35 | $10 | $31 | $31 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -3581.70 | -3581.70 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.01 |
| 0.56 |
| 0.24 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $4.45M | 62% | 1405 |
| Soccer | $218k | 59% | 17 |
| Esports | $188k | 57% | 136 |
| NFL Playoffs | $-50.2k | 25% | 4 |
| Tennis | $-37.8k | 45% | 29 |
| invitational | $19k | 79% | 28 |
| NBA | $-10k | 0% | 1 |
| uncategorized | $7.48k | 100% | 2 |
| UCL | $-1.97k | 0% | 2 |
| 2026 Winter Games | $1.57k | 100% | 2 |
| mvp | $1.1k | 67% | 3 |
| patriots | $776 | 40% | 5 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1eb724a7… | $330k | $194k | 170.3% |
| 0x3ceb5b63… | $277k | $142k | 194.1% |
| 0xc297782d… | $272k | $342k | 79.6% |
| 0xaf82c474… | $-232k | $232k | -100.0% |
| 0x8df5a425… | $231k | $284k | 81.1% |
| 0x053f9573… | $223k | $141k | 158.2% |
| 0x94a2b2a1… | $209k | $232k | 90.3% |
| 0xeed5912e… | $209k | $90.7k | 230.8% |
| 0x998efd8b… | $203k | $209k | 97.1% |
| 0xf5bc8db2… | $196k | $204k | 96.1% |
| 0xd3acf5f4… | $195k | $173k | 112.3% |
| 0x5bbca799… | $194k | $290k | 66.8% |
| 0xe81ec0ca… | $176k | $280k | 62.8% |
| 0xdf1de031… | $161k | $133k | 121.0% |
| 0xcd500a3d… | $-157k | $157k | -100.0% |
| 4089 |
| 4089 |
| 4089 |
| 4089 |