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0x4be1fa92e6ceaf886aac0bbec3be6c527133aa70
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 6.89 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 975.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:50:31 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $98.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $43.5k | $218k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 50% | 77% | 46% | 58% |
| ROI | 23% | 37% | 23% | 30% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.533 | -0.033 | -0.008 |
| Markets | 5 | 37 | 142 | 247 |
| Best day | $0 | $42.6k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.39 | 2.14 | 1.54 | 1.76 |
| Mean trade PnL | $10.9k | $9.89k | $25k | $25.7k |
| Median trade PnL | $-15.1k | $3.14k | $-1.99k | $190 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.39 | 0.63 | 1.81 | 1.26 |
| Largest win | $146k | $146k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Largest loss | $-72.2k | $-72.2k | $-1.01M | $-1.01M |
| Expectancy | $10.9k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $93.1k | $548k | $218k |
| Sortino (daily) | -0.005 | -0.270 | -0.027 | -0.005 |
| Calmar | -0.144 | -0.144 | -0.144 | -0.144 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 55% | 24% | 7% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 70% | 25% | 23% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 93% | 40% | 37% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 2 | 52 | 52 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 164 | 1044 | 16437 | 19081 |
| Unique markets | 5 | 37 | 142 | 247 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 86% | 87% | 35% |
| Avg entry price | 0.183 | 0.330 | 0.348 | 0.356 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.354 | 0.062 | 0.018 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | 26% | 28% | 49% | 46% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 25 | 96 | 172 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 75% | 28% | 36% |
| Average-down share | 50% | 25% | 70% | 61% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.01 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 60% | 66% | 66% | 69% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2220 | 0.2015 | 0.2214 | 0.2265 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2319 | 0.1870 | 0.2041 | 0.2129 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.446 | 0.616 | 0.652 | 0.582 |
| Exit quality ($) | $1.58k | $331 | $-1.84k | $-2.24k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 2.2% | 5.3% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1164 | 0.1164 | 0.1164 | 0.1164 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k | $-1.29k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -9.1% | -9.1% | -9.1% | -9.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.052 | 0.052 | 0.052 | 0.052 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0684 | 0.0684 | 0.0684 | 0.0684 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
| ∞ |
| ∞ |
| Worst day | $0 | $-225k | $-1.49M | $-1.49M |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $9.89k |
| $25k |
| $25.7k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 33% | 33% | 26% | 39% | 31% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 86% | 47% | 57% | 48% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 57% | 72% | 13% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 95% | 96% | 7% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | 0.1650 | 0.1115 | 0.0814 | 0.0990 |
| Inventory turnover | 164.00 | 1044.00 | 16437.00 | 19081.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.75 | 2.71 | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Avg ticket | $3.23k | $1.52k | $1.6k | $1.57k |
| Median ticket | $13 | $18 | $10 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -938.70 | 120.24 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 1.43 |
| 6.99 |
| 6.89 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $3.5M | 57% | 83 |
| Esports | $1.81M | 77% | 35 |
| Sports | $369k | 52% | 97 |
| NFL Playoffs | $4.75k | 67% | 3 |
| Trump | $104 | 100% | 1 |
| South Korea Elections | $0 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x044350e4… | $1.25M | $247k | 507.4% |
| 0x07c5e374… | $1.06M | $417k | 253.1% |
| 0x71cf1922… | $-1.01M | $1.01M | -100.0% |
| 0x5f84b35f… | $-754k | $756k | -99.7% |
| 0xad9e90bf… | $705k | $317k | 222.0% |
| 0x08d56195… | $-585k | $585k | -100.0% |
| 0x07cf19dc… | $580k | $682k | 85.1% |
| 0xbe68c466… | $573k | $693k | 82.6% |
| 0xebb200cb… | $572k | $348k | 164.1% |
| 0x04068db9… | $530k | $541k | 97.8% |
| 0x48718703… | $466k | $337k | 138.4% |
| 0x34432ae5… | $464k | $79.9k | 580.8% |
| 0x7db97866… | $-445k | $445k | -100.0% |
| 0x0b91765d… | $436k | $279k | 156.4% |
| 0xd490eca0… | $411k | $384k | 107.1% |
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