0x3833…33d1

0x38337de21ff0bb0a11a40761507d51e318d633d1

Tilted GamblerGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 11.43 and disposition ratio 0.00, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 105.8), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 10:35:37 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$496k

Open PnL

$-943k

Max drawdown

$275k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

pnl:1d

#17new

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$129k	$117k	$496k
Realized PnL	$34.1k	$236k	$376k	∞
Win rate	100%	96%	96%	76%
ROI	341%	109%	90%	23%
Sharpe (daily)	∞	0.620	0.151	0.074
Markets	4	42	97	1154
Best day	$112	$80.7k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	∞	26.67	14.75	1.69
Mean trade PnL	$17.1k	$8.75k	$6.96k	$2.65k
Median trade PnL	$17.1k	$8.22k	$6.84k	$3.83k
Payoff ratio	N/A	1.03	0.57	0.54
Largest win	$20.5k	$20.5k	$21.3k	$129k
Largest loss	N/A	$-9.2k	$-18.1k	$-84.5k
Expectancy	$17.1k

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$29.6k	$18.1k	$36.7k
Sortino (daily)	∞	0.067	0.208	0.067
Calmar	1.641	1.641	1.641	1.641
Drawdown duration (days)	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	60%	9%	6%	1%
Concentration top-5	100%	38%	26%	5%
Concentration top-10	100%	60%	43%	8%
Max win streak	2	17	26	134
Max loss streak	N/A	1	1	200

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	11	116	326	13950
Unique markets	4	42	97	1154
Active days ratio	200%	100%	63%	83%
Avg entry price	0.409	0.435	0.462	0.505
Portfolio HHI	0.305	0.036	0.016	0.002
Maker share (notional)	12%	5%	6%	35%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	1.7	3.0	2.6	1.2
Holding time median (h)	0.0	1.7	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	4	40	90	790
Disposition ratio	0.00	0.20	0.00	0.00
Add-to-winner share	N/A	38%	43%	57%
Average-down share	N/A	25%	21%	26%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	95%	93%	69%
Brier (weighted)	0.5818	0.2455	0.2222	0.2187
Brier (unweighted)	0.5900	0.3120	0.2690	0.2295
Entry timing mean	0.842	0.691	0.691	0.783
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$-0	$-0	$-33
Exit quality ROI gap	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%	0.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0555	0.0555	0.0555	0.0555
Alpha ($)	$450	$450	$450	$450
Alpha ROI gap	-0.7%	-0.7%	-0.7%	-0.7%
Contrarian score	-0.622	-0.622	-0.622	-0.622
Post-fill drift	-0.0472	-0.0472	-0.0472	-0.0472
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Scalper: 66.9%
News Sniper: 53.4%
Contrarian Fader: 51.2%
Conviction Holder: 28.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.73e-16; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x6b049bc3be… entry 0.180 timing 0.74
0x94dd33f550… entry 0.200 timing 0.62
0x033a08fef5… entry 0.190 timing 0.61
0xf4d4b372f6… entry 0.170 timing 0.82
0x114792a417… entry 0.150 timing 0.77
0xa2aca1c5c9… entry 0.298 timing 0.17
0x4e7eca7acd… entry 0.280 timing 0.17
0xbd10a718c2… entry 0.120 timing 0.16
0x2017df796d… entry 0.262 timing 0.98
0x2f5b1e3726… entry 0.250
0x3d3428c4dc… entry 0.298
0x9b21a05434… entry 0.140
0xaae3556001… entry 0.300
0xa9e6bc19d4… entry 0.250
0x9a670b18ef… entry 0.250
0x35c5745a98… entry 0.274
0xc6fd1706a9… entry 0.270
0x0965495893… entry 0.285 timing 0.80
0x5990668137… entry 0.240 timing 0.97

Open share card

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0x3833…33d1

0x38337de21ff0bb0a11a40761507d51e318d633d1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 11.43 and disposition ratio 0.00, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 105.8), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$129k

$117k

$496k

Realized PnL

$34.1k

$236k

$376k

∞

Win rate

100%

96%

76%

ROI

341%

109%

90%

23%

Sharpe (daily)

∞

0.620

0.151

0.074

Markets

1154

Best day

$112

$80.7k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

∞

26.67

14.75

1.69

Mean trade PnL

$17.1k

$8.75k

$6.96k

$2.65k

Median trade PnL

$17.1k

$8.22k

$6.84k

$3.83k

Payoff ratio

N/A

1.03

0.57

0.54

Largest win

$20.5k

$21.3k

$129k

Largest loss

N/A

$-9.2k

$-18.1k

$-84.5k

Expectancy

$17.1k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$29.6k

$18.1k

$36.7k

Sortino (daily)

∞

0.067

0.208

0.067

Calmar

1.641

Drawdown duration (days)

100.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

60%

Concentration top-5

100%

38%

26%

Concentration top-10

100%

60%

43%

Max win streak

134

Max loss streak

N/A

200

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

116

326

13950

Unique markets

1154

Active days ratio

200%

100%

63%

83%

Avg entry price

0.409

0.435

0.462

0.505

Portfolio HHI

0.305

0.036

0.016

0.002

Maker share (notional)

12%

35%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

1.7

3.0

2.6

1.2

Holding time median (h)

0.0

1.7

0.0

Max concurrent

790

Disposition ratio

0.00

0.20

0.00

Add-to-winner share

N/A

38%

43%

57%

Average-down share

N/A

25%

21%

26%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

95%

93%

69%

Brier (weighted)

0.5818

0.2455

0.2222

0.2187

Brier (unweighted)

0.5900

0.3120

0.2690

0.2295

Entry timing mean

0.842

0.691

0.783

Exit quality ($)

$-0

$-33

Exit quality ROI gap

-0.0%

0.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0555

Alpha ($)

$450

Alpha ROI gap

-0.7%

Contrarian score

-0.622

Post-fill drift

-0.0472

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Scalper: 66.9%

News Sniper: 53.4%

Contrarian Fader: 51.2%

Conviction Holder: 28.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.73e-16; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x6b049bc3be… entry 0.180 timing 0.74
0x94dd33f550… entry 0.200 timing 0.62
0x033a08fef5… entry 0.190 timing 0.61
0xf4d4b372f6… entry 0.170 timing 0.82
0x114792a417… entry 0.150 timing 0.77
0xa2aca1c5c9… entry 0.298 timing 0.17
0x4e7eca7acd… entry 0.280 timing 0.17
0xbd10a718c2… entry 0.120 timing 0.16
0x2017df796d… entry 0.262 timing 0.98
0x2f5b1e3726… entry 0.250
0x3d3428c4dc… entry 0.298
0x9b21a05434… entry 0.140
0xaae3556001… entry 0.300
0xa9e6bc19d4… entry 0.250
0x9a670b18ef… entry 0.250
0x35c5745a98… entry 0.274
0xc6fd1706a9… entry 0.270
0x0965495893… entry 0.285 timing 0.80
0x5990668137… entry 0.240 timing 0.97

Esports	$2.01M	75%	839
Tennis	$385k	83%	47
Sports	$-11.7k	69%	13

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x8b7ef296…	$129k	$37.5k	344.2%
0xb7182857…	$104k	$56.9k	182.4%
0x01bded8d…	$-84.5k	$84.5k	-100.0%
0x0d7df475…	$-81.9k	$81.9k	-100.0%
0x8474b581…	$-77.5k	$77.5k	-100.0%
0x0edb76cb…	$-69.2k	$69.2k	-100.0%
0xef2f5ee4…	$66k	$34k	194.2%
0xfbbb5737…	$-62.1k	$62.1k	-100.0%
0x20dde9ca…	$-59.7k	$59.7k	-100.0%
0x6a367a1a…	$-52.2k	$52.2k	-100.0%
0x527de449…	$-50k	$50k	-100.0%
0xca6e26fb…	$48.6k	$50.4k	96.5%
0x4d6be440…	$47.6k	$39.9k	119.2%
0x39a7c58e…	$-47.5k	$47.5k	-100.0%
0xf2bdcb7b…	$47.5k	$36.9k	128.9%

0x3833…33d1

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x3833…33d1

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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