Loading trader…
0x379f36e9be13cb0784aa8d81284926a463047d70
Secondary: Early-Bird Forecaster
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is null and disposition ratio 0.37, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 60.8), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Early-Bird Forecaster, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 10:23:10 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $106k | $107k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $49.7k | $109k | $110k | $112k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| ROI | 99% | 100% | 95% | 90% |
| Sharpe (daily) | ∞ | 0.563 | 0.257 | 0.185 |
| Markets | 4 | 38 | 76 | 178 |
| Best day | $-154 | $57.6k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ | ∞ |
| Mean trade PnL | $16.6k | $3.29k | $1.83k | $810 |
| Median trade PnL | $165 | $41 | $37 | $15 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Largest win | $49.5k | $57.5k | $57.5k | $57.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Expectancy | $16.6k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $26.9k | $13.9k | $10.2k |
| Sortino (daily) | ∞ | 9.374 | 4.398 | 3.448 |
| Calmar | 33.962 | 33.962 | 33.962 | 33.962 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 53% | 52% | 51% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 99% | 98% | 97% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 99% | 98% | 97% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 33 | 60 | 138 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 61 | 1003 | 1193 | 1310 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 38 | 76 | 178 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 73% | 63% |
| Avg entry price | 0.993 | 0.991 | 0.989 | 0.965 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.988 | 0.568 | 0.520 | 0.471 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 99% | 99% | 94% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 8.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 4.3 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 8 | 9 | 102 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.37 |
| Add-to-winner share | 96% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Average-down share | 4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 21% | 12% | 57% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2487 | 0.2500 | 0.2348 | 0.2207 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1330 | 0.0460 | 0.0438 | 0.0362 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.320 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-167 | $-15 | $-8 | $-4 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.3% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0474 | 0.0474 | 0.0474 | 0.0474 |
| Alpha ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.575 | 0.575 | 0.575 | 0.575 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0028 | -0.0028 | -0.0028 | -0.0028 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 40 |
| $57.6k |
| $57.6k |
| Worst day | $-154 | $-1.96k | $-1.96k | $-1.96k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $3.29k |
| $1.83k |
| $810 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 12% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 8% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.1262 | -0.1262 | -0.0505 |
| Inventory turnover | 61.00 | 1003.00 | 1193.00 | 1310.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.99 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.84 |
| Avg ticket | $1.64k | $208 | $183 | $175 |
| Median ticket | $199 | $19 | $17 | $19 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 255.50 | 46.18 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $110k | 100% | 52 |
| Tennis | $888 | 100% | 72 |
| Culture | $700 | 100% | 2 |
| Weather | $305 | 100% | 12 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x776956c5… | $57.5k | $49.2k | 116.9% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $49.5k | $50k | 99.0% |
| 0xe9dce32a… | $610 | $390 | 156.4% |
| 0x76c1eda0… | $173 | $828 | 20.8% |
| 0xbf5028ee… | $165 | $335 | 49.3% |
| 0x06753c7a… | $145 | $355 | 40.8% |
| 0x57784b4d… | $115 | $385 | 29.9% |
| 0xed78f987… | $100 | $400 | 25.0% |
| 0x73deedfe… | $100 | $400 | 25.0% |
| 0xe68cc7f7… | $95 | $405 | 23.5% |
| 0x516e5ff2… | $90 | $10 | 900.0% |
| 0xd72599ac… | $90 | $410 | 22.0% |
| 0x194ebd17… | $90 | $410 | 22.0% |
| 0x54f9e5d7… | $90 | $410 | 22.0% |
| 0x00905eee… | $88 | $422 | 20.8% |
| 40 |
| 40 |
| 40 |