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0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 21540 with median hold 14.1 hours, maker share only 87%.
Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 26% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:30:21 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $114k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-2.74k | $320k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 0% | 71% | 88% | 81% |
| ROI | -1% | 33% | 51% | 57% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.622 | -0.060 | 0.071 |
| Markets | 19 | 89 | 230 | 386 |
| Best day | $-1.03k | $784 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.00 | 53.52 | 30.16 | 40.64 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-686 | $20k | $15k | $10.8k |
| Median trade PnL | $-533 | $1.04k | $4.97k | $1.6k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 21.41 | 4.08 | 9.41 |
| Largest win | N/A | $130k | $130k | $130k |
| Largest loss | $-1.68k | $-1.7k | $-27.6k | $-27.6k |
| Expectancy | $-686 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $41.8k | $81.6k | $56k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.070 | -0.472 | -0.064 | 0.070 |
| Calmar | 0.903 | 0.903 | 0.903 | 0.903 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 23.4 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 23.4 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 61% | 39% | 7% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 97% | 24% | 16% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 38% | 25% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 10 | 30 | 39 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 624 | 2879 | 13227 | 21540 |
| Unique markets | 19 | 89 | 230 | 386 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 94% |
| Avg entry price | 0.569 | 0.447 | 0.271 | 0.298 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.651 | 0.126 | 0.018 | 0.013 |
| Maker share (notional) | 88% | 90% | 93% | 87% |
| Two-sided share | 5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.4 | 6.1 | 77.4 | 127.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.4 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 14.1 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 50 | 70 | 127 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.43 | 0.32 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Add-to-winner share | 81% | 91% | 97% | 93% |
| Average-down share | 19% | 9% | 3% | 6% |
| Tilt ratio | 3.38 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 23% | 15% | 26% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.1673 | 0.1537 | 0.1724 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1254 | 0.1835 | 0.1973 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.461 | 0.489 | 0.756 | 0.824 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $2.43k | $271 | $144 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 13.5% | 14.5% | 20.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0068 | 0.0068 | 0.0068 | 0.0068 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.45k | $-2.45k | $-2.45k | $-2.45k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -176.4% | -176.4% | -176.4% | -176.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.040 | -0.040 | -0.040 | -0.040 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0012 | -0.0012 | -0.0012 | -0.0012 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $242k |
| $242k |
| Worst day | $-1.03k | $-115k | $-207k | $-207k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $20k |
| $15k |
| $10.8k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 33% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 25% | 71% | 80% | 8% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 95% | 94% | 49% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 94% | 85% | 30% |
| >0.90 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 82% | 13% |
| 2% |
| 7% |
| 10% |
| Spread capture | 0.0024 | -0.0019 | -0.0064 | 0.0064 |
| Inventory turnover | 624.00 | 2879.00 | 13227.00 | 21540.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.88 | 1.65 | 1.51 | 1.63 |
| Avg ticket | $642 | $547 | $373 | $338 |
| Median ticket | $61 | $20 | $15 | $14 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1033.60 | 191.95 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.62 |
| 3.78 |
| 2.05 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $2.21M | 95% | 111 |
| South Korea Elections | $96.2k | 100% | 2 |
| Elections | $50.2k | 57% | 7 |
| Colombia Election | $47.2k | 86% | 7 |
| Peru | $45.2k | 50% | 8 |
| Tennis | $32.3k | 100% | 3 |
| Politics | $27.4k | 100% | 25 |
| UK Elections | $24.8k | 100% | 3 |
| primary elections | $16.2k | 73% | 11 |
| Bogotá | $7.02k | 100% | 2 |
| Parent For Derivative | $6.61k | 67% | 3 |
| Weather & Science | $-6.09k | 0% | 4 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b6fef24… | $130k | $204k | 63.8% |
| 0x776956c5… | $98.8k | $83k | 119.0% |
| 0xad9e90bf… | $70k | $30k | 233.3% |
| 0x6d621f9a… | $61k | $39k | 156.4% |
| 0xfb2314dc… | $59.3k | $60.5k | 98.0% |
| 0x180bce41… | $58.5k | $42.4k | 138.1% |
| 0x1b1a75d6… | $58.5k | $69k | 84.7% |
| 0x83d646ac… | $53k | $47k | 112.8% |
| 0x0f5e01cf… | $51k | $49k | 104.1% |
| 0x2037b257… | $46.2k | $53.7k | 86.0% |
| 0x6f05c7bc… | $41.6k | $38.4k | 108.3% |
| 0xc4c3dbcc… | $40.7k | $413k | 9.9% |
| 0x70de9477… | $39.6k | $20.4k | 194.1% |
| 0x32552863… | $39.3k | $35.7k | 110.1% |
| 0xeed5912e… | $38.5k | $16.5k | 233.3% |
| 2401 |
| 2401 |
| 2401 |
| 2401 |