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0x228b…af4c · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x228b…af4c
0x228b8d11eba89bf1c554f8879a9293b7106daf4c
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 100% and two-sided activity is 88%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 82149.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (0%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:37:37 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.02k | $44k | $210k | $671k |
| Realized PnL | $-376 | $30.1k | $19.5k | $127k |
| Win rate | 50% | 51% | 52% | 52% |
| ROI | -0% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.824 | 0.888 | 0.528 |
| Markets | 70 | 223 | 1368 | 1368 |
| Best day | $-556 | $15.3k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.00 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-3 | $74 | $2 | $13 |
| Median trade PnL | $-0 | $12 | $2 | $3 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.01 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| Largest win | $15.4k | $16.1k | $36.4k | $36.4k |
| Largest loss | $-14.6k | $-15.5k | $-36k | $-36k |
| Expectancy | $-3 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $7.44k | $14k | $11.5k |
| Sortino (daily) | 1.651 | 5.293 | 2.086 | 1.651 |
| Calmar | 38.583 | 38.583 | 38.583 | 38.583 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 8% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Concentration top-5 | 30% | 13% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-10 | 48% | 22% | 2% | 2% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 4149 | 13061 | 82149 | 82149 |
| Unique markets | 70 | 223 | 1368 | 1368 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.030 | 0.010 | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Two-sided share | 93% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tilt ratio | 0.59 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0692 | 0.0557 | 0.0557 | 0.0598 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0552 | 0.0714 | 0.0608 | 0.0637 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Exit quality ($) | $-76 | $-13 | $-77 | $-78 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 2306.5% | 1987.1% | 2474.6% | 2454.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0605 | -0.0605 | -0.0605 | -0.0605 |
| Alpha ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alpha ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Contrarian score | 0.251 | 0.251 | 0.251 | 0.251 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0644 | 0.0644 | 0.0644 | 0.0644 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 830 |
| Worst day | $-556 | $-1.02k | $-11.6k | $-11.6k |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 4149.00 | 13061.00 | 82149.00 | 82149.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Avg ticket | $170 | $162 | $157 | $157 |
| Median ticket | $21 | $20 | $20 | $20 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -23535.00 | -23535.00 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xf2742bbe… | $-13.3k | $28k | -47.4% |
| 0xe9d96f95… | $-10.3k | $29.4k | -35.1% |
| 0xed731efa… | $-10.1k | $26.6k | -37.9% |
| 0x90dcf4df… | $-10k | $22.3k | -44.9% |
| 0x606424a8… | $-9.22k | $23.4k | -39.4% |
| 0x1e369f3a… | $-9.19k | $21.8k | -42.1% |
| 0x5fac5a47… | $-9.07k | $19.4k | -46.9% |
| 0xf175e553… | $-8.73k | $19.2k | -45.6% |
| 0x03363ead… | $-7.98k | $18.3k | -43.6% |
| 0xc7980a63… | $-7.87k | $17.6k | -44.7% |
| 0x9caa9297… | $-7.56k | $15.9k | -47.4% |
| 0xe81ec0ca… | $7.25k | $4.79k | 151.3% |
| 0x7164003e… | $7.15k | $2.29k | 311.8% |
| 0xbc54d735… | $-7.08k | $10.1k | -70.1% |
| 0x583ee771… | $-7.05k | $15.1k | -46.8% |