0x2106…4dea

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$44.3k	$124k	N/A
Realized PnL	$30.3k	$234k	$313k	$443k
Win rate	46%	47%	38%	39%
ROI	12%	31%	17%	14%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.615	0.734	0.129
Markets	123	461	496	496
Best day	$-43	$28.9k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	3.49	4.66	2.01	1.62
Mean trade PnL	$865	$993	$335	$123
Median trade PnL	$-8	$-2	$-2	$-1
Payoff ratio	4.15	5.33	3.32	2.51
Largest win	$30.2k	$58.5k	$58.5k	$124k
Largest loss	$-4.73k	$-25.4k	$-25.4k	$-25.4k
Expectancy	$865

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$10.3k	$7.83k	$8.75k
Sortino (daily)	0.068	67.976	1.365	0.068
Calmar	3.679	3.679	3.679	3.679
Drawdown duration (days)	44.0	44.0	44.0	44.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	55%	16%	8%	7%
Concentration top-5	84%	52%	23%	16%
Concentration top-10	93%	69%	33%	24%
Max win streak	5	7	8	15
Max loss streak	4	5	27	60

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	933	14004	16456	16456
Unique markets	123	461	496	496
Active days ratio	200%	114%	113%	113%
Avg entry price	0.150	0.073	0.090	0.090
Portfolio HHI	0.356	0.109	0.099	0.099
Maker share (notional)	100%	99%	99%	99%
Two-sided share	0%

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	15.4	17.9	25.4	25.4
Holding time median (h)	15.6	8.8	12.6	12.6
Max concurrent	94	379	403	403
Disposition ratio	N/A	1.63	0.94	0.94
Add-to-winner share	38%	47%	43%	43%
Average-down share	26%	34%	44%	44%
Tilt ratio	0.44

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	100%	68%	66%	66%
Brier (weighted)	0.0464	0.1461	0.1629	0.1531
Brier (unweighted)	0.0556	0.1941	0.1316	0.0890
Entry timing mean	0.559	0.522	0.545	0.545
Exit quality ($)	$972	$128	$597	$44
Exit quality ROI gap	218.0%	37.1%	23.9%	-11.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.1485	0.1485	0.1485	0.1485
Alpha ($)	$-18	$-18	$-18	$-18
Alpha ROI gap	-1.2%	-1.2%	-1.2%	-1.2%
Contrarian score	-0.094	-0.094	-0.094	-0.094
Post-fill drift	-0.0005	-0.0005	-0.0005	-0.0005
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 40.1%
Contrarian Fader: 37.8%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 36.7%
Longshot Hunter: 31.0%
Tilted Gambler: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x6099e6b30c… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0x04816f7f30… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0xd44a98cbfc… entry 0.015 timing 0.75
0x31352af4d7… entry 0.020 timing 0.42
0x7c6d624563… entry 0.032 timing 0.61
0x69a24b337e… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0xee307e0609… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0x6bbbb71216… entry 0.028 timing 0.14
0xc0b4c04433… entry 0.026 timing 0.08
0x6df5c681e1… entry 0.032 timing 0.63
0x15f8f202d1… entry 0.020 timing 0.77
0x8ae48c75da… entry 0.015 timing 0.77
0xce610556ec… entry 0.008 timing 0.46
0x39b718f6e0… entry 0.020 timing 0.75
0x2212033b5a… entry 0.020 timing 0.75
0x934225abdf… entry 0.008 timing 0.46
0xf2b1a83332… entry 0.063
0x998bc71817… entry 0.200 timing 0.77
0x56a64fe909… entry 0.019 timing 0.50

Open share card

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0x2106…4dea

0x21064fd320bfd5a86f8c92a94d3209edf4154dea

Secondary: Contrarian Fader

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 16456 with median hold 12.6 hours, maker share only 99%.

Capital velocity 0.1 and held-to-resolution 66% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is Contrarian Fader, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$44.3k

$124k

N/A

Realized PnL

$30.3k

$234k

$313k

$443k

Win rate

46%

47%

38%

39%

ROI

12%

31%

17%

14%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.615

0.734

0.129

Markets

123

461

496

Best day

$-43

$28.9k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

3.49

4.66

2.01

1.62

Mean trade PnL

$865

$993

$335

$123

Median trade PnL

$-8

$-2

$-1

Payoff ratio

4.15

5.33

3.32

2.51

Largest win

$30.2k

$58.5k

$124k

Largest loss

$-4.73k

$-25.4k

Expectancy

$865

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$10.3k

$7.83k

$8.75k

Sortino (daily)

0.068

67.976

1.365

0.068

Calmar

3.679

Drawdown duration (days)

44.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

55%

16%

Concentration top-5

84%

52%

23%

16%

Concentration top-10

93%

69%

33%

24%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

933

14004

16456

Unique markets

123

461

496

Active days ratio

200%

114%

113%

Avg entry price

0.150

0.073

0.090

Portfolio HHI

0.356

0.109

0.099

Maker share (notional)

100%

99%

Two-sided share

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

15.4

17.9

25.4

Holding time median (h)

15.6

8.8

12.6

Max concurrent

379

403

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.63

0.94

Add-to-winner share

38%

47%

43%

Average-down share

26%

34%

44%

Tilt ratio

0.44

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

100%

68%

66%

Brier (weighted)

0.0464

0.1461

0.1629

0.1531

Brier (unweighted)

0.0556

0.1941

0.1316

0.0890

Entry timing mean

0.559

0.522

0.545

Exit quality ($)

$972

$128

$597

$44

Exit quality ROI gap

218.0%

37.1%

23.9%

-11.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.1485

Alpha ($)

$-18

Alpha ROI gap

-1.2%

Contrarian score

-0.094

Post-fill drift

-0.0005

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 40.1%

Contrarian Fader: 37.8%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 36.7%

Longshot Hunter: 31.0%

Tilted Gambler: 30.0%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x6099e6b30c… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0x04816f7f30… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0xd44a98cbfc… entry 0.015 timing 0.75
0x31352af4d7… entry 0.020 timing 0.42
0x7c6d624563… entry 0.032 timing 0.61
0x69a24b337e… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0xee307e0609… entry 0.030 timing 0.37
0x6bbbb71216… entry 0.028 timing 0.14
0xc0b4c04433… entry 0.026 timing 0.08
0x6df5c681e1… entry 0.032 timing 0.63
0x15f8f202d1… entry 0.020 timing 0.77
0x8ae48c75da… entry 0.015 timing 0.77
0xce610556ec… entry 0.008 timing 0.46
0x39b718f6e0… entry 0.020 timing 0.75
0x2212033b5a… entry 0.020 timing 0.75
0x934225abdf… entry 0.008 timing 0.46
0xf2b1a83332… entry 0.063
0x998bc71817… entry 0.200 timing 0.77
0x56a64fe909… entry 0.019 timing 0.50

Sports	$170k	40%	755
Politics	$89.5k	43%	228
French Election	$49.9k	82%	11
2026 FIFA World Cup	$35.1k	50%	14
Main Election	$17.2k	53%	19
Eurovision	$17k	25%	36
Colombia Election	$13.7k	27%	22
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec	$-9.01k	25%	4
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50	$7.35k	38%	16
United States	$6.92k	63%	16
Soccer	$5.91k	41%	145
NBA Finals	$4.61k	36%	11

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x22e7b5e3…	$124k	$131k	94.9%
0xdf8e2dc5…	$71.3k	$99.1k	72.0%
0x375409bc…	$39.6k	$44.7k	88.5%
0x0c4cd205…	$34.2k	$239k	14.3%
0xb6b3d7a2…	$31.2k	$10.4k	301.4%
0x9b6fef24…	$30.8k	$65.8k	46.9%
0x7976b8db…	$-25.4k	$7.38k	-344.5%
0x1166388a…	$24.1k	$61.5k	39.2%
0xd2a8caba…	$19.1k	$16.5k	115.8%
0xc6ddb19f…	$18.5k	$54k	34.2%
0xfbe85201…	$17.6k	$21.4k	82.0%
0x13e1cc70…	$17.2k	$9.76k	175.8%
0xf8f63bb4…	$16.5k	$28.5k	57.8%
0xfa021d81…	$15.6k	$36.9k	42.2%
0x749d8ecc…	$13.9k	$41.7k	33.4%

0x2106…4dea

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

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0x2106…4dea

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

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