0x204f…5e14

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14

ScalperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 56282 with median hold 2.5 hours, maker share only 13%.

Capital velocity 0.2 and held-to-resolution 85% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 09:26:42 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$19.6M

Open PnL

$-16.5k

Max drawdown

$2.08M

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$16.7k	$942k	∞	∞
Realized PnL	$113k	∞	∞	∞
Win rate	57%	58%	57%	57%
ROI	1%	5%	1%	1%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.184	0.338	0.158
Markets	1330	2917	2917	2917
Best day	$-51.9k	∞

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	1.07	1.34	1.08	1.09
Mean trade PnL	$68	$247	$130	$138
Median trade PnL	$0	$0	$0	$0
Payoff ratio	0.80	0.97	0.81	0.82
Largest win	$186k	$537k	$537k	$537k
Largest loss	$-142k	$-794k	$-794k	$-794k
Expectancy	$68

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$725k	$940k	$359k
Sortino (daily)	0.229	0.149	0.562	0.229
Calmar	9.382	9.382	9.382	9.382
Drawdown duration (days)	5.0	5.0	5.0	5.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	7%	13%	4%	4%
Concentration top-5	25%	30%	12%	12%
Concentration top-10	42%	39%	20%	19%
Max win streak	9	12	16	17
Max loss streak	10	17	30	30

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	28120	56282	56282	56282
Unique markets	1330	2917	2917	2917
Active days ratio	200%	133%	133%	133%
Avg entry price	0.684	0.669	0.669	0.669
Portfolio HHI	0.024	0.020	0.020	0.020
Maker share (notional)	14%	13%	13%	13%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	2.6	4.1	4.1	4.1
Holding time median (h)	2.2	2.5	2.5	2.5
Max concurrent	1156	2566	2566	2566
Disposition ratio	1.21	1.10	1.10	1.10
Add-to-winner share	54%	59%	59%	59%
Average-down share	43%	37%	37%	37%
Tilt ratio	1.15

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	86%	85%	85%	85%
Brier (weighted)	0.0691	0.0852	0.0987	0.0986
Brier (unweighted)	0.1054	0.1085	0.1139	0.1143
Entry timing mean	0.686	0.668	0.668	0.668
Exit quality ($)	$-70	$-108	$-192	$-234
Exit quality ROI gap	59.2%	35.1%	53.6%	53.2%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0001	-0.0001	-0.0001	-0.0001
Alpha ($)	$29.5k	$29.5k	$29.5k	$29.5k
Alpha ROI gap	27.5%	27.5%	27.5%	27.5%
Contrarian score	-0.015	-0.015	-0.015	-0.015
Post-fill drift	0.0114	0.0114	0.0114	0.0114
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 66.4%
News Sniper: 38.9%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.1%
Conviction Holder: 34.7%
Favorite Grinder: 33.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x4adff54a4e… entry 0.088
0x5a2c58ee71… entry 0.033 timing 1.00
0x5a2c58ee71… entry 0.033 timing 1.00
0x778c59d063… entry 0.220 timing 0.96
0x1e60154fa4… entry 0.021
0x0cd92fcb90… entry 0.130
0x8472381a31… entry 0.182
0xbdef8b9cd2… entry 0.032 timing 0.43
0xdbbb3fac76… entry 0.101 timing 0.97
0x4f12f87f64… entry 0.210
0x646e8d4861… entry 0.095
0x75f4b337ba… entry 0.217
0x238fa8b12f… entry 0.193
0xb5f671488d… entry 0.224
0xbee01a27aa… entry 0.190
0x0e8a22cf11… entry 0.210
0x24c49f1d26… entry 0.082
0xe57a061f3e… entry 0.048
0xcdb2f34769… entry 0.276
0x22106d17d0… entry 0.116

Open share card

← Back to leaderboards

Loading trader…

0x204f…5e14

0x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 56282 with median hold 2.5 hours, maker share only 13%.

Capital velocity 0.2 and held-to-resolution 85% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$16.7k

$942k

∞

Realized PnL

$113k

∞

Win rate

57%

58%

57%

ROI

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.184

0.338

0.158

Markets

1330

2917

Best day

$-51.9k

∞

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

1.07

1.34

1.08

1.09

Mean trade PnL

$68

$247

$130

$138

Median trade PnL

Payoff ratio

0.80

0.97

0.81

0.82

Largest win

$186k

$537k

Largest loss

$-142k

$-794k

Expectancy

$68

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$725k

$940k

$359k

Sortino (daily)

0.229

0.149

0.562

0.229

Calmar

9.382

Drawdown duration (days)

5.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

13%

Concentration top-5

25%

30%

12%

Concentration top-10

42%

39%

20%

19%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

28120

56282

Unique markets

1330

2917

Active days ratio

200%

133%

Avg entry price

0.684

0.669

Portfolio HHI

0.024

0.020

Maker share (notional)

14%

13%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

2.6

4.1

Holding time median (h)

2.2

2.5

Max concurrent

1156

2566

Disposition ratio

1.21

1.10

Add-to-winner share

54%

59%

Average-down share

43%

37%

Tilt ratio

1.15

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

86%

85%

Brier (weighted)

0.0691

0.0852

0.0987

0.0986

Brier (unweighted)

0.1054

0.1085

0.1139

0.1143

Entry timing mean

0.686

0.668

Exit quality ($)

$-70

$-108

$-192

$-234

Exit quality ROI gap

59.2%

35.1%

53.6%

53.2%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0001

Alpha ($)

$29.5k

Alpha ROI gap

27.5%

Contrarian score

-0.015

Post-fill drift

0.0114

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.2

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 66.4%

News Sniper: 38.9%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 37.1%

Conviction Holder: 34.7%

Favorite Grinder: 33.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 0.00e+0; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x4adff54a4e… entry 0.088
0x5a2c58ee71… entry 0.033 timing 1.00
0x5a2c58ee71… entry 0.033 timing 1.00
0x778c59d063… entry 0.220 timing 0.96
0x1e60154fa4… entry 0.021
0x0cd92fcb90… entry 0.130
0x8472381a31… entry 0.182
0xbdef8b9cd2… entry 0.032 timing 0.43
0xdbbb3fac76… entry 0.101 timing 0.97
0x4f12f87f64… entry 0.210
0x646e8d4861… entry 0.095
0x75f4b337ba… entry 0.217
0x238fa8b12f… entry 0.193
0xb5f671488d… entry 0.224
0xbee01a27aa… entry 0.190
0x0e8a22cf11… entry 0.210
0x24c49f1d26… entry 0.082
0xe57a061f3e… entry 0.048
0xcdb2f34769… entry 0.276
0x22106d17d0… entry 0.116

Sports	$1.27M	58%	8648
Tennis	$113k	52%	1350
Esports	$6	100%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x20fac1c9…	$1.21M	$4.35M	27.9%
0xfb22501f…	$-743k	$1.01M	-73.3%
0x9c183f63…	$607k	$1.16M	52.5%
0x744df2cb…	$602k	$1.27M	47.3%
0xf95968b1…	$-598k	$977k	-61.2%
0x513d437d…	$-535k	$601k	-89.0%
0x0f5e01cf…	$475k	$906k	52.4%
0x67452e32…	$471k	$836k	56.4%
0xdac6e67b…	$-470k	$869k	-54.1%
0x87c9134e…	$-427k	$618k	-69.2%
0x4b84a8e0…	$416k	$1.62M	25.6%
0x7d531b7f…	$376k	$382k	98.6%
0x16c981b4…	$-345k	$844k	-40.9%
0x31e4e9fb…	$-340k	$343k	-99.1%
0xfc2ce317…	$-319k	$747k	-42.7%

0x204f…5e14

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x204f…5e14

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)