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0x2005…75ea · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
0x2005…75ea
0x2005d16a84ceefa912d4e380cd32e7ff827875ea
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 82% and two-sided activity is 65%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 64124.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (37%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 09:27:48 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $306k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $197k | $184k | ∞ | ∞ |
| Win rate | 57% | 54% | 55% | 55% |
| ROI | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.417 | 0.517 | 0.521 |
| Markets | 545 | 1721 | 1721 | 1721 |
| Best day | $70.1k | $169k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.20 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Mean trade PnL | $271 | $70 | $117 | $131 |
| Median trade PnL | $3 | $1 | $3 | $3 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Largest win | $116k | $116k | $224k | $224k |
| Largest loss | $-92.9k | $-92.9k | $-206k | $-206k |
| Expectancy | $271 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $106k | $91.6k | $58.7k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.639 | 0.290 | 0.587 | 0.639 |
| Calmar | 56.995 | 56.995 | 56.995 | 56.995 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 34% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Concentration top-10 | 46% | 19% | 10% | 10% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 |
| Max loss streak | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 14358 | 64124 | 64124 | 64124 |
| Unique markets | 545 | 1721 | 1721 | 1721 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 125% | 125% | 125% |
| Avg entry price | 0.467 | 0.451 | 0.451 | 0.451 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.029 | 0.009 | 0.009 | 0.009 |
| Maker share (notional) | 86% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Two-sided share | 62% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Max concurrent | 234 | 813 | 813 | 813 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Add-to-winner share | 54% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Average-down share | 33% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.86 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 33% | 37% | 37% | 37% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1398 | 0.1540 | 0.1338 | 0.1330 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1370 | 0.1300 | 0.1243 | 0.1260 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.320 | 0.206 | 0.206 | 0.206 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-29 | $-11 | $-476 | $-459 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 19.6% | 6.4% | 88.1% | 90.4% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0216 | -0.0216 | -0.0216 | -0.0216 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.35k | $-1.35k | $-1.35k | $-1.35k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -163.1% | -163.1% | -163.1% | -163.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.082 | -0.082 | -0.082 | -0.082 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0304 | -0.0304 | -0.0304 | -0.0304 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
new
| Worst day | $70.1k | $-151k | $-151k | $-164k |
| Spread capture | -0.0157 | -0.0196 | -0.0196 | -0.0196 |
| Inventory turnover | 14358.00 | 64124.00 | 64124.00 | 64124.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.03 | 0.81 | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Avg ticket | $275 | $134 | $134 | $134 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $1.24M | 57% | 6596 |
| Tennis | $98.4k | 51% | 3262 |
| Esports | $-30.2k | 47% | 131 |
| uncategorized | $1 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xc495d1ca… | $-175k | $242k | -72.3% |
| 0xdf3505f0… | $165k | $212k | 77.9% |
| 0xc8a02f1d… | $-165k | $165k | -100.0% |
| 0xf134b5d6… | $152k | $103k | 148.3% |
| 0xdbd44b5d… | $128k | $298k | 43.0% |
| 0x07c5e374… | $-116k | $238k | -48.8% |
| 0x32046bdc… | $-113k | $538k | -21.0% |
| 0xc9c40540… | $-104k | $109k | -96.2% |
| 0x91bc2d5c… | $103k | $355k | 28.9% |
| 0x512ecdaf… | $96.6k | $205k | 47.1% |
| 0x81cef42d… | $96.1k | $25.8k | 372.6% |
| 0x8d654710… | $-94.4k | $155k | -60.8% |
| 0x4a0aa5a5… | $87.3k | $647k | 13.5% |
| 0x4da73e81… | $86.8k | $184k | 47.2% |
| 0x8eb93327… | $84.4k | $112k | 75.1% |