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Sports · Multi-outcome
Consensus is open-interest weighted across venues with eligible prices.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Consensus | Venue spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 39.6% | 40.5% | 40.4% | 1% |
| Golden State Warriors | 30.2% | 29.5% | 29.5% | 0.7% |
| Miami Heat | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 1.9% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.8% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 2.8% |
| 3.5% |
| 3.5% |
| 0.7% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0% |
| Denver Nuggets | 1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Boston Celtics | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Indiana Pacers | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Washington Wizards | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Houston Rockets | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Detroit Pistons | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Toronto Raptors | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| New York Knicks | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Orlando Magic | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Utah Jazz | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Combined open interest
$9.56M
Polymarket locked USDC plus Kalshi max-payout notional.
Polymarket OI
$436k
Locked USDC reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi OI
$9.13M
Contracts multiplied by max-payout notional.
Polymarket volume
$21.8M
Price-weighted traded USD.
Kalshi volume
$23.1M
Kalshi-reported contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Combined volume
$45M
Polymarket traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Combined 24h volume
$3.03M
Polymarket 24h traded USD plus Kalshi $1 face-value contract volume.
Polymarket 24h
$1M
Price-weighted traded USD reported by Polymarket.
Kalshi 24h
$2.03M
Kalshi-reported 24h contracts at $1 face value when captured.
Polymarket resolution
Open venueThis market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Kalshi resolution
Open venueIf LeBron James's next team is Washington before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Miami Heat
$4.12M Vol.